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Bankroll Management: Discipline is the Key

Percentage-Based Wagering Sports betting can be a profitable business and/or recreational past time as long as you remember and adhere to strict bankroll management guidelines. There have been many good handicappers that pick winners throughout the numerous sports that end up going bust and giving up because they used poor money management. No matter how much you like a certain play on a given day, you should not be putting 30, 40, 50 or dare I say it 100% of your money put aside for sports betting on one play. Obviously winning on a big play like that is great, but when it loses you are back to square one, have to reload, and will push/force plays to try and get that money back. As a general rule, most plays should be no more than 2% of your bankroll at any time. Here at Drock Sports I use $100 as my unit of measure and going by this rule it requires you to have a $5000 bankroll to start. Not many out there have that kind of money to put aside simply for sports betting, so boosting up your percentages a touch works as well. Nobody really wants to grind away at $20 a day with a $2000 bankroll, so there is wiggle room with what you decide to wager. Personally, I have no problem with your normal play being 4% of your bankroll with top plays - the ones you absolutely love - topping out at 6-8%. You don't want to be making these top plays daily because bad runs do happen and a tough 0-5 streak will have drained nearly half your account. But when you put the work in with your handicapping you'll [...]

By |May 16th, 2016 3:25pm|Betting Philosophy, Betting Strategy|0 Comments

Profitable NFL Betting Situations

Here are some things to keep in mind when you are going through the weekly NFL schedule. 1: Look-ahead spots - Fade teams in these spots. With one game a week and a schedule mixed with very tough rivalry games and others against the bottom feeders of the league, situations pop up every week where you can figure out if a team is looking past a weaker opponent and ahead to a huge game (could be in primetime) against a quality opponent that will clearly get Team A's attention. For example, if you were to see the defending champion Seattle Seahawks hosting a bad team like Jacksonville one week prior to a huge game against a top rival like San Francisco. Seattle will definitely be laying plenty of points against the Jags but do you really expect the Seahawks to spend that whole week preparing for Jacksonville like it's a must-win game? Seattle knows that chances are they simply have to show up and they can beat Jacksonville outright. They will have one eye looking past the Jags and onto that game with the 49ers because they know that will be an intense game and they want to be peaking at that time. A bad team like the Jags won't get the Seahawks full attention and that's a great time to grab all those points with the underdog Jags. These spots pop up every week with opponents getting overlooked for a better one the next week and fading them works extremely well when those good teams are heavy favorites. 2: Let-down spots - Fade teams in these spots. This is another situation that's great to fade teams - typically favorites, after they've just had a [...]

By |May 12th, 2016 11:36pm|Betting Strategy, NFL Strategy|0 Comments

Betting MLB Baseball – 8 Money Making Situations

Baseball's regular season is different than all other sports because it allows you to apply some series dynamic strategies to your handicapping that are generally reserved for playoffs in NBA and NHL.  It's those little things that can drastically help your bottom line in MLB betting. 1: Don’t be afraid of or shy away from underdogs on the money line Baseball is one of those sports where there aren’t point spreads (if you ignore the -1.5) and the prices fluctuate in terms of who will win. That means that a 52.4% rate isn’t necessary to break even over the course of the year if you are consistently cashing underdogs. There is no quicker way to bleed away your bankroll than to take -250, -300 favorites in baseball and have them lose because you will have to win two to three bets just to get back that one loss. In fact, any time I see an underdog at +300 or greater it’s almost an automatic play for me (small) as the value is just too great in a one-game scenario. In fact, the +1.5 run line bet isn’t something I’ll ever use unless it’s on an underdog of +200 or more and the price on +1.5 is at or close to +100. Playing underdogs is a huge part of my MLB betting success and it should be included in your strategy as well. 2: Zig-Zag total theory Another basic starting point for baseball bettors and it calls for you to flip the total plays in Games 2, 3 and 4 of a series. Obviously you should take other factors into consideration (betting percentages, reverse line moves etc) when making a play like this, but if the [...]

By |April 26th, 2016 7:04pm|Betting Strategy, MLB Strategy|0 Comments

Profitable CFB Betting Situations

Betting college football does have a few similarities to betting the NFL, but overall is a very different animal than betting the NFL.  Top college players graduate each year and teams are completely different from season to season with totally different personalities.  Throw all team trends out the window, they are useless in CFB and even historical trends as well.  When it come to college football handicapping, thinking outside the box is the way to profit all season long. A few profitable College Football Betting situations and my winning theory's to look for during the season: 1.  Revenge This is one of the similarities to the NFL and if used correctly it can be very profitable.   The revenge card has been really bastardized by handicappers, but when used in the right circumstance it can be profitable.  I look over the schedule each week and see if any team lost to that team a season ago, that had their worst loss.  A loss so bad it was embarrassing and humiliating that the losing team can not forget.  Remember though, in college football teams are different each season and if the QB isn't the same or head coach left, it's a pass for me.  I look for this spot and PLAY ON the loser of last year's game in the rematch. 2.  Let-Down spots This applies to later on in the season and not in September.  Later in the season teams are more likely to have mental and emotional breakdowns as the grind to the season is in full swing.  Games are played against conference teams and school rivals are big games for these kids and teams coming off huge wins will more than likely be [...]

By |August 7th, 2015 6:15pm|Betting Strategy, NCAAF Strategy|0 Comments

The game AFTER a win streak is lost

I put this up as a post of its own, because this profitable betting situation applies to every sport.  This is one of my favorite situations to PLAY ON and it continues to cash at a high rate year after year.  This situation is pretty simple and works just like this.  Teams in all sports go on winning streaks during the seasons and instead of playing against them each time thinking they will lose that game, all you need to do is wait for them to lose and PLAY AGAINST them the very next game.  Watch for teams that win six, seven, nine or even ten plus in a row and then finally lose their next game.  When those teams lose that game they are in "shock" and disappointment and now they feel that they aren't so unbeatable after all.  PLAY AGAINST the team that loses their first game after a winning streak.  This play is more amplified if a team goes on a 10+ game winning streak and loses it's first game.  This can collect profits year round and is a must play when the right moment comes.

By |June 27th, 2015 3:27pm|Betting Philosophy, Betting Strategy|0 Comments