Analyzing daily line movement, going through teams schedules, overreactions to a line and recognizing the use of "buy low, sell high" opportunities is key to picking winners and growing your return on investment.   The ability to analyze line movements and decipher their meaning is something that takes a long time to develop.  Bettors can only acquire this skill by consistently watching lines daily and breaking down the movements week in and week out. Situational spot analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or under performed their normal levels relative to the money line or spread.  Understanding how teams play and how they match up with the opposition is an important thing in every sport, but realizing when teams are in tough situations can be a good way to make money and get line value.  Teams will have a letdown off of a big win or they will have a tough travel schedule ahead.  Good teams will step up to play against good opponents and then play down to lesser competition the next game.  Every sport’s regular season is a grind and teams aren’t going to give a full effort for every single game, you have to break down the schedule and pick these spots accordingly.  Motivation and fatigue in scheduling is key to handicapping games and cannot be ignored.  Desperation, when a coach calls out his team or when players hold a players only meeting are also key contributors to finding the right situation to move on.  Marquee matchups in primetime are going to see bigger effort levels from teams and players and that can fit into the look-ahead spots and then have a letdown the next game after.  I have already [...]

This is the most basic principle in investing "buy low, sell high" and is the cornerstone that I apply to daily handicapping sports.  Put simply, by buying when cheap and selling when expensive you will grow your return on investment.  This sounds easy right? Well you have to know when is the right time to react.  So how do you determine whether to buy low on a team or sell high. Everyday is a new day in the world of sports and with each new day comes new opportunities.  What I like to look for each day is what team is being overvalued and what team is being undervalued in the number presented by oddsmakers. What makes a team overvalued (stock high)/undervalued (stock low)? who the team is playing the team is on a winning/losing streak what their previous games result was their against the spread winning/losing trends media spotlight on one team is greater than the other home stadium/playing on the road These all have an impact on the line of a game and what I like to do is be patient and let the market react before I do.  Watching the games daily you will help acquire a feel for what to expect the next day in an opening line.  For how the general public reacts to what is happening each night in sports is the main form I use is social media.  Social media plays a big part in how a feeling is felt about a certain team/player and that can be taken in as information to you how you might think a certain line will react the next game.  While the market reacts each day, watching Sportscenter, reading online sport sites, [...]

People who bet on sports make the mistake of betting based on what happened the last game and that's what's going to happen again the very next game.  This applies to every sport and it's the square way of thinking which is why square bettors will never be winners.  Picking winners all about situational spots rather than just picking the "better" team.  If the better team always won, then there wouldn't be Vegas sportsbooks, bookies or offshore sportsbooks in business.   Think outside the box, be patient and wait for the right moment to react to a situation.