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Reverse Line Movement

This is a must for every handicapper to know.  If you notice here on vegasinsider.com they have bet percentages there on moneyline, spread and OVER/UNDER for each sport.  They have what the line for the game opened at and what the current line is at. What to look for is: for instance the Heat open at -7 for the game and there is 74% of the betting market on them but the line went from -7 to -6 with only 26% of the bets coming in on the other team you have to wonder why did the line move the opposite way?  Well there is sharp money and there is public money.  Since the Heat are a public team they are almost always bet on by the public that`s why there is 74% of the betting market on them.  So with the line moving to -6 there is sharp money moving that line which tells you that they know something the public doesn`t.  This is a tell we use to make our moves everyday and this is an excellent strategy to profit from over time.  This is an absolute must to research before you make your wager.

By |May 18th, 2016 10:12pm|Betting Philosophy, Betting Strategy|0 Comments

Shopping Around for the Best Odds

Like anything in this world, shopping around for the best available line is another important tool to add to your sports betting tool box. Different sportsbooks will have different odds on the same game, so depending on what side you like it's important for you to get the best bang for your buck. When looking to make bets, it's best to have at least two or three different sportsbooks where you can make bets.  I have a list of some great ones here at Drock Sports, but they all have different factors that make them quality shops. As much as you want to jump right in and make your wagers, losing a few cents/dollars on each of your plays because you only have one sportsbook at your disposal will affect your bottom line. When you are backing a team like the New York Yankees and see them as -130 favorites at one place, -135 at another, -140 somewhere else and -128 at a fourth place, where would you want to make that bet. The last one saves you 12 cents on the dollar and that adds up long term. I know that having multiple sportsbooks isn't always feasible when you are starting out, but once you get going and have a better understanding of the whole process, this is something you should include in your sports betting arsenal. You can use http://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/ as a place to go about finding where you want to start and keep using it for when you decide to find action elsewhere.

By |May 16th, 2016 4:31pm|Betting Philosophy, Betting Strategy|0 Comments

Analyzing Line Movement: Important Tool for Finding Winners

When you begin you sports betting career you should think of the handicapping process (breaking down games/lines) a job you need to have the right "tools" for. One of the most important tools to have is learning how to successfully watch the lines (odds) move throughout the day and up until game time. You can get the answer (correct wager) by doing this and cross-referencing it with applicable trends and situations to get you to confirm a bet on a given team. Many come into their sports betting careers with the misconception that they have been following teams/leagues forever, watching Sportscenter, and knowing tho to pick as the winner. But the popular media outlets (ESPN, Fox Sports, TSN -for you Canadians) portray their message with generic narratives and common, often unusable tidbits of information. It's not that helpful for me to tell you Washington has won seven of their last eight games in New York when those eight games took place over 3-4 years with different team dynamics each season. If that stat is incorporated into your handicapping process as a whole when breaking down the game it can be used as evidence as to why to bet Washington that night but it shouldn't be the only reason you decide to make that wager. Like a lawyer trying to prove their case, you need to gather as much evidence as you can as to why Team X is the one you'll be betting on tonight. A good place to start is by using Sportsbook Review's betting odds side - found here. It tracks the odds all day across numerous sportsbooks for every game that day and you can click on a given game and see [...]

Bankroll Management: Discipline is the Key

Percentage-Based Wagering Sports betting can be a profitable business and/or recreational past time as long as you remember and adhere to strict bankroll management guidelines. There have been many good handicappers that pick winners throughout the numerous sports that end up going bust and giving up because they used poor money management. No matter how much you like a certain play on a given day, you should not be putting 30, 40, 50 or dare I say it 100% of your money put aside for sports betting on one play. Obviously winning on a big play like that is great, but when it loses you are back to square one, have to reload, and will push/force plays to try and get that money back. As a general rule, most plays should be no more than 2% of your bankroll at any time. Here at Drock Sports I use $100 as my unit of measure and going by this rule it requires you to have a $5000 bankroll to start. Not many out there have that kind of money to put aside simply for sports betting, so boosting up your percentages a touch works as well. Nobody really wants to grind away at $20 a day with a $2000 bankroll, so there is wiggle room with what you decide to wager. Personally, I have no problem with your normal play being 4% of your bankroll with top plays - the ones you absolutely love - topping out at 6-8%. You don't want to be making these top plays daily because bad runs do happen and a tough 0-5 streak will have drained nearly half your account. But when you put the work in with your handicapping you'll [...]

By |May 16th, 2016 3:25pm|Betting Philosophy, Betting Strategy|0 Comments

Moneyline Betting Do’s and Don’ts

With NFL and CFB around the corner I wanted to touch on playing the point spread vs. the moneyline.  I only believe in playing the moneyline day in and day out in two sports: Hockey and Baseball, where moneyline dogs cash daily, which in turn increases your return on investment (ROI).  There for some reason there seems to be a trend to play the moneyline in sports like NFL, CFB, NBA and CBB.  In sportsbetting, it's important to get the greatest return on your money and in no way do I believe in laying my money on a -400 favorite day in and day out in a spread sport (NFL, CFB, NBA, CBB).  I am going to break it down right here for you: Moneyline: Just pick the winning team, seems easy enough, yet underdogs upset everyday.  Is it smart to bet high juice favorites on the moneyline?  Personally I don't believe in wagering this way, I look for opportunities to get the most return on my investment and betting these high juice favorites is not my style.  For some, eliminating the spread is the way to go and the way to ease the stress of that one free throw away from a cover.  If you are inclined to risk a lot in high juiced fav's here what you need to know: Giving you an example betting high juiced favs as opposed to underdogs: Let's use -200 with a take back of +170 and let's go with the $100 bettor to make this easy Assume you play two games a day at -200 for a NBA season which is 200 days so you have made 400 wagers.  Let's assume you win 65% of those bets [...]

By |September 12th, 2015 10:22pm|Betting Philosophy|0 Comments