After a brutal Monday with my free selections and our premiums, I bounced back well yesterday sweeping the board. Houston jumped all over C.J Wilson early and a late grand slam by Jay Bruce pushed that Reds/Orioles total over the number. Many afternoon games have already gone off or will be in the next hour, so I’m focusing on the night card with my plays.
All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts ‘to win’ on favorites and flat on underdogs
Play of the Day in Bold
Free Play Records
MLB Pre All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691)
MLB Post All Star Break: 32-33 (+$1052)
CFL YTD: 6-8 (-$266)
NCAAF YTD: 2-1 (+$284)
MLB plays
Boston/NYY Under 8.5 (+106) $200 to win $212
Last night we saw an old fashioned slugfest between these two teams and bettors are expecting more of the same tonight. Nearly 90% of the action is on the high side of this total right now and I would not be surprised to see it get bumped to 9 (if that’s the case wait on it).
However, the Red Sox are still 5-13 O/U in their last 18 on the road and I don’t think they get to Kuroda tonight like they did against Greene yesterday. New York is on a 3-13-2 O/U run after allowing 5+ the game before and are on a 7-18-2 O/U run at home right now. They are also 2-12 O/U the last 14 times Kuroda’s been a home favorite in the -150 to -200 range and 5-22-1 O/U with him on the mound and the Yanks coming off a loss.
I have no problem fading the majority here as we should see a 4-3 type game.
Arizona ML (+129) $300 to win $387
This is game three of four in this series and so far the Diamondbacks have scored a grand total of two runs. However, we’ve seen this line move in their favor with 70% of bettors fading them tonight (similar to the Astros last night) and I’ve got no problem taking the plus money in a matchup of two bad teams.
Josh Collmenter gets the nod for Arizona and he’s already 2-0 SU against the Padres this year with 3-1 and 5-1 wins. The Diamondbacks are also 12-2 SU in his last 14 starters after he had a quality outing in his last start and are 9-2 SU after scoring two runs or less in their last game. You’ll never see me lay the juice with this Padres team, but tonight’s a great opportunity to actually go against them rather than skip over the game entirely.
Leave A Comment