I was 2-2 with my four premium plays yesterday (Jays Under 8.5, Pitt Over 8.5, Reds ML, Marlins Under 8) and didn’t provide you guys with a great free play slate either (1-2). A few blown coverages and turnovers by the Giants cost me any chance at the ‘under’ while the Chargers/Cardinals game played out in a similar fashion to their preseason game this year.
But it’s time to take a break from football and recharge the mind for this weekend’s upcoming action. We’ve got a full baseball board available to us tonight and I’ve already loaded up four premium MLB plays for subscribers tonight – including two very live underdogs. There are a couple more underdogs I’ve been eyeing all day for you all so let’s get right to the free card.
All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts ‘to win’ on favorites and flat on underdogs
Play of the Day in Bold
Free Play Records
MLB Pre All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691)
MLB Post All Star Break: 37-35 (+$1945)
CFL YTD: 6-8 (-$266)
NCAAF YTD: 6-3 ATS (+$656)
NFL YTD: 1-3 ATS (-$515)
MLB plays
Minnesota ML (+146) $300 to win $438
Texas ML (+133) $200 to win $266
I’m grouping these two underdogs together today as both have seen significant reverse line movement with large majorities backing the better teams from Cleveland and L.A. However, L.A is in a tough spot as this is their third city in as many days after playing a make-up game in Cleveland yesterday afternoon and it’s only a matter of time before all that travel catches up with them. The Angels also have their worst starter Hector Santiago on the hill and the Rangers have already seen him three times this year. Santiago does have a 2-1 SU record in those three starts but he’s never gone past the 6th inning and the Rangers have scored 5, 6, and 2 runs in those contests. Colby Lewis continues to grind on in a trying year for the Rangers, and Texas is 20-9 SU the last 29 times he’s been on the hill vs. a team that put up 5+ runs in their last game. Texas is also 20-8 SU in their last 28 games against a team that has a winning percentage of .600 or higher so they don’t mind playing the role of spoiler and that’s precisely what I believe they do today.
Cleveland was involved in that makeup game with the Angels yesterday and are trying to make a desperate push for that final wildcard spot. Yesterday’s loss halted a three-game win streak for the Indians and with a Minnesota team that’s 2-8 SU in their last 10, bettors have no problem taking that heavy juice with Cleveland. However, I can’t ignore the line move in this one as the Twins look to get better pitching (eight straight overs) after a day off yesterday. This move and price are just too good to pass up in my opinion with a Twins team that’s looking to play spoiler here.
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