I was able to bring out the brooms yesterday with my free plays and if you had waited to bet both of my underdogs until just before first pitch you would have gotten better numbers than I did. That’s alright though as a 2-0 day with underdogs is always a good one with Boston and Texas coming through for me. We’ve got a full day of baseball action tonight with every team back in action so let’s get right to the plays.
All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts ‘to win’ on favorites and flat on underdogs
Play of the Day in Bold
MLB Pre All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691)
MLB Post All Star Break: 27-28 (+$842)
CFL YTD: 6-7 (+$34)
NFL-X YTD: 2-3 (-$26)
MLB Plays
Boston ML (+122) $300 to win $366
I’m not usually one to go out on a limb and back bad teams for consecutive days, but I can’t help but come back with the Red Sox tonight. Living about an hour away from the Toronto area and watching this Jays team routinely, I can’t help but see the sinking ship that is the Jays franchise right now as Toronto will be in some big changes this off-season. Radio personalities who have been optimistic about Toronto’s chances this year continually point to their 21-win month of May and relate it to the fact how teams in the past that have won that often in a month typically get to the playoffs. However, schedule-wise May was very generous to Toronto and they had a lot of things go their way. Since then when the pressure has been raised, this team’s glaring holes/weaknesses have come to the forefront and in my opinion they’ll be a great fade the rest of the season. Just like every year, this Blue Jays team will be lucky to get to .500 and you’ll likely see me fading them quite often as the days go by.
Boston nearly cost themselves last night as they gave Toronto hope with that 9th inning comeback, but that win to stop an eight-game slide will have the Red Sox beaming with confidence tonight. Toronto is 4-9 SU in Dickey’s last 13 starts overall and that includes a 1-5 SU run when he comes in as the favorite. Toronto is 3-13 SU in their last 16 against a right-handed pitcher and although they’ve beaten De La Rosa twice already this year, tonight’s the night where the tide changes. There are so many problems with this Toronto team right now that you know they are a ship just waiting to sink and I’ll be at the cashiers window collecting my tickets as they start to take on water.
Minnesota ML (+155) $200 to win $310
The Twins scored 42 runs in a four-game set with the Tigers over the weekend as their offense is playing free and easy right now and cashing in on their opportunities. They are playing like a team with no pressure (because there isn’t any) and it’s translated into some entertaining high-scoring games. Tonight they take on Danny Duffy and the Royals who are burdened with playoff pressure every night and that could end up being the deciding factor tonight.
KC has done a much better job of giving Duffy run support of late, but they’ve still blown way too many quality outings from the lefty this season. Minnesota has lit up lefties the past few weeks and they got to Duffy about 10 days ago in a 6-5 win. That was the third straight time the Royals and Duffy beat Minnesota this year and that’s part of the reason tonight’s line is so high on the Royals. Going back to last year, KC is actually 5-0 SU the last five times Duffy has been up against the Twins, but tonight’s the night the script changes and we see the hot hitting bats of Minnesota do enough to get the W. Just like yesterday’s two underdogs, the Twins are a team that no one wants tonight yet have seen their odds drop quite a bit early today before more influx of public money has pushed the Royals line back up. I’ll be against the majority with this play, but that worked out well for me last night and I’m expecting similar results tonight.
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