The NFL is finally back and sportsbooks everywhere are being flooded with action now that all the recreational bettors have reloaded their bankrolls and ready for football. While football betting is great, remember a winning/losing bet on any sport still pays the same so don’t be scared to continue plugging away on other sports like MLB because you can find some value in the lines in sports that many are ignoring right now. Your money doesn’t know or care if it’s being bet on in football or elsewhere, so stay true to the course and try and grind away profits.
That being said, I’ve got two premium plays uploaded for subscribers on tonight’s football action (CFB and NFL) so make sure you check those plays out.
As far as free plays go, I’ve got three plays lined up for you all with baseball taking center stage.
All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts ‘to win’ on favorites and flat on underdogs
Play of the Day in Bold
Free Play Records
MLB Pre All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691)
MLB post All Star Break: 34-33 (+$1651)
CFL YTD: 6-8 (-$266)
NCAAF YTD: 2-1 (+$284)
MLB plays
Boston/NYY Under 8.5 (-105) $210 to win $200
I almost feel as though I can post the same write up from yesterday’s card for this play as once again bettors are flocking to the high side of this total between the Sox and Yanks. But we’ve already seen the opening number of 9 – key number in baseball totals by the way – be dropped to this 8.5 spot despite over 80% of the action coming in on the over. That’s a move I simply can’t ignore as the Red Sox are now 5-14 O/U in their last 19 games on the road. Last night’s ‘under’ pushed the Yankees run at home to 7-19-2 O/U and I believe both of those streaks get added to tonight.
Cincinnati/Baltimore Over 7.5 (-107) $321 to win $300
This total has seen some movement as well, but bettors were hitting this ‘under 8’ hard and pushed the move to the current number of 7.5. However, I’m quite surprised to see an ‘under’ in a Baltimore game get so much love as they are one of the best hitting teams in baseball and can rack up HR’s in a hurry. Yes, I know that aside from a Jay Bruce grand slam in the 8th inning of the series opener the Reds have been shutout in this series, but I do think they find a way to score off Tillman tonight as he’s got a 7-0-1 O/U record in his last eight interleague starts.
I’ve always got faith in the O’s offense and with a 9-3-1 O/U mark in their last 13 at home against a right-handed pitcher and a 11-3-1 O/U mark in their last 15 as a home favorite, Baltimore will likely slug 2+ HR’s of Leake here. As always, I never have a problem being in the minority and when that majority is giving me the high side of a total with a great slugging team like the Orioles, I’ll almost always take it.
NCAAF plays
Arizona/Texas San Antonio Under 55 (-120) bought half point) $240 to win $200
My free CFB play tonight is another minority one as bettors are expecting a high-scoring game between Arizona and Texas San Antonio tonight with over 70% of the action coming in on the over. Arizona managed to put up 58 points last week in their season opener vs. UNLV and that’s why bettors are loving the points here.
However, don’t sleep on the Roadrunners defense as they forced five turnovers against Houston last week en route to a 27-7 win as 7-point dogs. They’ve got a veteran-laden team with 10 starters back on defense this year and with a national championship winning coach like Larry Coker running this program, the Roadrunners are a very good team that nobody knows about.
Last year these two teams met out in the desert and Arizona won 38-13 but Texas-SA did cover the +25.5 spread. The Roadrunners have not forgotten about that loss and will have revenge on their minds tonight and that bodes well for us to see a physical, lower-scoring game. Even with over 800 yards of total offense in last year’s contest, these two teams still managed to stay under tonight’s number and with 55 being such a key number in football totals betting, I’m suggesting you buy that half point to get to 55.
Leave A Comment