Yesterday was filled with a little bit of luck both ways as I went 0-1-2 with my selections. I was lucky to get a push with my totals in NHL and MLB, and was unlucky to have the Red Sox come back before eventually losing in extras to a walk-off HR. Can’t dwell on what could have been though as it’s on to tonight’s card with some afternoon action included.

All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts “to win” on favorites and flat on underdogs

Play of the Day in Bold

NBA YTD: 12-13-1 (-$187)

NHL YTD: 9-12-3 (-$177)

MLB YTD: 47-54-7 (-$449)

MLB Plays

Philadelphia/Washington Under 7.5 (-111) $222 to win $200

The Phillies are a complete mess right now as they’ve lost five in a row and their pitching has been brutal. Their bullpen is completely spent because their starters can’t go deep into games anymore and Kyle Kendrick has the task of trying to change that tonight.

Kendrick has had a lot of success against the Nats in the past except for a couple of hitters (Harper, Desmond, Zimmerman) but Harper won’t be playing today and Kendrick should pitch well. He’s got a strong wind blowing in from left field to help him keep the balls in the yard (he’s a flyball pitcher) and the Phillies are 3-7 O/U in his last 10 starts on the road.

Doug Fister gets the nod for Washington and he’s rounding into form with his new team. He’s only given up 2.7 runs per start over his last three and I think we see a similar number put up tonight.

Miami/Tampa Over 7.5 (+105) $300 to win $315

Two of the weaker pitchers we’ve seen in this series go in this game this afternoon and runs will be scored. The Marlins are 10-3 O/U in their last 13 on the road and that includes a 8-3 O/U mark as a road dog. Miami is also 8-2-1 O/U in Turner’s last 11 starts as an underdog and a lot of that has to do with his 5.1 runs allowed per start.

Tampa’s Jake Odorizzi isn’t much better at 4.9 runs allowed per start and has watched seven of his 11 starts this year cash an ‘over’ ticket.

Milwaukee/Minnesota Under 9 (-111) $222 to win $200

This is another series that has seen plenty of runs scored so far with the winner of each game scoring six times in the victory. Minnesota has won two of those three contests but as both teams prepare to move on to a new opponent, I believe we see a lot of free-swinging batters at the dish on getaway day.

The Twins are 1-8-1 O/U in theri last 10 at home with a total in the 9-10.5 range and have a 3-7-1 O/U mark in Correia’s last 11 starts as a home dog. Meanwhile, Milwaukee is 4-9 O/U in Peralta’s last 13 road starts and are 1-6 O/U in his last seven starts as a favorite. These two teams don’t have lineups that scare you as those bats will cool off tonight.