Missed with another play of the day yesterday as I’m starting to slide with those top plays again, but managed to go 1-1 with my picks overall as the Jays finally got a game to go over the total. A small losing day is something I can live with as you won’t win every day with your selections, you’ve just got to have more winning days than losing ones. I’m looking to get back on track with these plays today as I’ve got some afternoon action for everyone.

As a side note, I’m not putting it in today’s selections, but with the LAA/Cleveland game getting washed out yesterday and the starting pitchers moved to this afternoon, I’m not against sticking with my original analysis and playing the “over” 8.5 in that game. C.J Wilson is still making a road start so all of those numbers I touched on yesterday still apply. Wilson does have a much better ERA in the daytime but Masterson’s is way worse (7.66), so if you are looking for some real early action, I still lean heavily on that over.

All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts “to win” on favorites and flat on underdogs

Play of the Day in Bold

MLB YTD: 69-69-9 (+$1730)

MLB plays

Kansas City/Detroit Over 8 (-103) $206 to win $200

KC is looking for it’s 11th straight win today as they hope to sweep the Tigers away in this four-game set and continue to build on their new-found lead in the AL Central. KC’s offense has awakened from their year-long slump to start this winning streak and I don’t see them stopping with the bats today.

The Royals have pounded right-handed pitching during this run and you don’t have to look any further than what they’ve already done against Verlander and Scherzer in this series. The former went only six innings in an 11-8 loss while the latter lasted four innings in an 11-4 defeat. Prior to those games they knocked out Rienzo and Noesi of the White Sox in six and 3.6 innings respectively en route to scoring 6 and 9 runs. Anibal Sanchez has been great for the Tigers this year but he’s had some tough luck of late and that should continue today.

Detroit’s offense has to wake up in this series finale because the last thing they want to happen before they go out on the road for an extended road trip is to get swept in four at home. With their bullpen issues (another factor in our favor today), Detroit’s offense has to carry the torch for this team and I believe they will do so today.

Atlanta ML (+130) $300 to win $390

Atlanta has taken five of six from the Nationals already this year and after a rough series at home against the Phillies this week, the Braves have to be happy that they are out on the road. Atlanta is 6-2 SU in their last eight on the road against a right-handed starter and they’ve got a 4-0 SU mark in their last four away from home against another winning team. The Braves have gone 10-3 SU in the last 13 games played her in Washington en route to a 22-7 SU record in the last 29 meetings overall. Simply too much value on a quality team (Atlanta) that’s coming off a bad run of games that is affecting people’s perception of them.

Philadelphia ML (+165) $200 to win $330

Philly was the team that beat up on Atlanta this week and the best sign for the Phillies is the fact that their offense finally started to produce again. The Phillies scored 21 runs in their three-game sweep of the Braves and although the Cardinals have been very stingy in giving up runs the past few weeks, this is another spot where the underdog has too much value for me to pass up.

I’m still waiting for Shelby Miller’s eventual regression as it should come any day now. With the general consensus being what it is (ie St Louis and Miller are a much better team), I’m pouncing on this underdog who is a perfect 5-0 SU in their last five in that underdog role.