I might have to start upgrading my free picks to premiums and downgrading a few premiums the way this is going. It was a 2-2 night on the premo card, but it was another sweep on the free play board with the Giants lighting up Porcello early and often and Boston coming back in dramatic fashion against the fading Blue Jays. It’s all college football today though as I’ve got a couple of great early plays for you all with my free card.

All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts ‘to win’ on favorites and flat on underdogs

Play of the Day in Bold

Free Play Records

MLB Pre All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691)

MLB Post All Star Break: 37-34 (+$2245)

CFL YTD: 6-8 (-$266)

NCAAF YTD: 3-1 (+$484)

NCAAF Plays

Middle Tennessee State +16 (-104) $312 to win $300

Can’t ignore the line movement on this one as Blue Raiders come in as heavy underdogs against a Big 10 team that’s consistently overrated year after year.

Minnesota stated the season with a 42-20 win over a bad Eastern Illinois team that threw for 409 yards against the Gophers defense. EIU had more first downs than Minnesota (27-18) and if it wasn’t for some poor play by QB Jalen Whitlow early and losing the turnover battle (3-1) this game would have been much closer. However the fact that the Panthers were able to move up and down the field like they did in that second half bodes well for this Middle Tennessee team to score points.

The Blue Raiders impressed me with a 6-17 win against Savannah State and although they were massive favorites (-41), the offense looked in sync and they had no problem moving the ball. This is definitely a step up in competition level for Middle Tennessee, but with six wins in their last seven games overall this team is built for success now.

Akron/Penn State Under 50 (-106) $212 to win $200

Penn State’s had a long week as they traveled back to Penn after winning on a last second FG in Ireland last weekend and that jet lag will catch up with them here. The Nittany Lions should still be able to come away with the outright win, but they’ll be relying on their defense to do so.

Penn St has the talent to keep this Akron team at bay, but don’t expect these two teams to march up and down the field against one another. Penn State is 16-35 O/U in their last 51 non-conference games and are on a 1-10 O/U run against MAC opponents. Combine those trends with the reverse line movement on this total and the fact that Akron is 1-10 O/U in their last 11 on the road, 5-16 O/U in their last 21 overall and 1-4 O/U in their last five vs. the Big 10 and we will see this game stay under this number.

Georgia Tech/Tulane Over 56 (-106) $212 to win $200

Another game with some big reverse line movement on the total as the Green Wave try to rebound off a tough OT loss @ Tulsa.

Tulane’s offense moved the ball well last week int he 38-31 extra time loss and I’m expecting more of the same from the offense today. Georgia Tech doesn’t have a great defense by any means and allowed 19 points against FCS Wofford last week. Tulane’s offense should have better success than that today as they try to pull off the outright upset as home dogs, but they’ll need to score to do so because I don’t like their chances of stopping the Ramblin Wreck’s triple option attack.

Georgia Tech scored 30+ themselves last week (38) and are on an 8-2 O/U run overall. The Yellow Jackets are also 5-1 O/U when playing a team with a losing record, 4-0 O/U in their last four on the road and 11-4 O/U in their last 15 September games. Their triple option is hard to stop when you rarely see it and with 70%+ on the low side of this total and the number climbing, Tulane fans will see another shootout today.