Thanks to a blown save from a closer and a botched FG late to tie the game, a potential 4-0 night turned into a 2-2 one here on D Rock Sports. Baltimore had their game with Oakland all wrapped up before Josh Donaldson came in and smacked a three-run walk-off HR. Hamilton was in position to tie the game with a chip shot FG and the holder botched the ball, giving the Ti-Cats a 10-7 loss. That loss was still good enough to cover the spread and the Indians used a late rally themselves to blow away the Tigers, so it was still a profitable night for me. It’s on to today though as I look to keep the winners coming.
All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts ‘to win’ on favorites and flat on underdogs
Play of the Day in Bold
MLB Pre-All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691)
MLB Post-All Star Break: 1-1 (+$211)
CFL YTD: 1-2: ($0)
MLB Plays
LA/St Louis Over 7.5 (+110) $200 to win $220
Zack Greinke squares off with Joe Kelly tonight in Game 2 of this series after the Cardinals eeked out a 3-2 win last night. Of the five games these two have played this year, four have stayed under the total, but that lone over came when Greinke was on the mound. L.A blew away the Cards 9-1 that day and with Joe Kelly making only his fifth start of the year, I like LA’s chances of putting up a few runs again today.
I say that because Kelly lasted only three innings in his return from the DL last week when the Brewers lit him up for six runs on seven hits. He’s a guy that’s struggling to regain his major league form right now and a talented, veteran team like the Dodgers will force him to come over the plate. That’s where the trouble starts and it could be another quick hook for Kelly today.
But the Cardinals have plenty of experience against Greinke from his Brewers Days and although Zack is 7-3 SU the last ten times he’s faced St Louis, he’s 5-5 O/U in those contests with each of the last two games cashing ‘over’ tickets. He’s allowed three runs or more in four of those ten outings and with the Dodgers sporting a 5-2 O/U record in his last seven starts against a winning opponent, I believe we see some runs scored today.
Houston/Chicago Under 8.5 (-115) $230 to win $200
Houston is one of the worst MLB hitting teams against right-handed pitching and it will show tonight. Chicago isn’t much better against lefties and with ground ball pitcher Dallas Keuchel on the hill for the Astros, I don’t expect many balls will be leaving the yard. There will be a slight breeze blowing in from left-center and we’ve got Brian O’Nora behind the dish with his 4-12 O/U record this year. With only 6.3 combine runs scored per game he umps, I like our chances of cashing this play.
CFL Plays
BC -6.5 (-111) $333 to win $300 and Over 49 (-106) $212 to win $200
It’s revenge time for the Lions after they were embarrassed out in Montreal a few weeks back, losing 24-9 in a game that wasn’t even that close. Montreal could have run away with it after the first half and BC’s lone TD came in garbage time, so even that 15-point spread was much closer than it could have been.
But now it’s BC’s turn to lay a whooping on the Alouettes as they travel out west to play at BC Place and with this being the last meeting of the year between the two, BC is hungry for blood. The Lions are a much better team on paper than Montreal is (even with a washed up Chad Johnson) and they’ve been dominant at home the past couple of seasons. This game should be a double digit victory for the Lions and that’s why I’ve got no problem laying the 6.5 points.
As far as the total goes, Montreal only scored 4 points in the 2nd half of that first meeting and BC was blanked in the first half. With this being the final meeting between the two, I’m going back on another NFL division system I like to use and that’s flip-flopping the results on the totals in Game 2. We should see both offenses have success moving the ball tonight as it will be the only game in Week 4 that goes over its respective total.
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