My free plays on Friday went 2-2 after the Montreal Alouettes failed to close out Winnipeg for the 2nd time this year. Thankfully my two winners were MLB underdogs to ensure a profit and after a busy weekend of research and changing addresses, I’m ready to attack this football season for all of you. It’s only bases tonight so let’s pad that bankroll with a couple more free winners tonight.

All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts ‘to win’ on favorites and flat on underdogs

Play of the Day in Bold

MLB Pre All-Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691)

MLB Post All Star Break: 25-28 (+$230)

CFL YTD: 6-7 (+$34)

NFL-X YTD: 2-3 (-$26)

MLB plays

Boston ML (+106) $300 to win $318

Texas ML (+147) $200 to win $294

I’m grouping these two plays together as they’ve got plenty in common tonight. First off, the Red Sox and Rangers are two teams left playing out the remaining games on their schedule as there will be no playoffs for either franchise. They are teams that have compiled up the losses of late with Boston losing eight straight and Texas failing to win two in a row since early August. Both teams are ones that no bettors want to back because of this futility and if you’ve followed me all year you’ll know that I have no problem backing the underdogs that no one wants.

Secondly, both teams are up against wildcard contenders in Toronto and Seattle as the pressure clearly resides with those home squads tonight. Yet, despite the Jays and Mariners getting the majority of action from bettors as they continue to fade Texas and Boston daily, we’ve seen reverse line movement in play for both of these hapless teams all afternoon.

In Boston’s case, they’ve lost six in a row to the Jays – including getting swept in Boston last time – and aren’t expected to do anything different tonight. However, Boston is 9-1 SU in Clay Buccholz’s last 10 starts @ Toronto and the Jays are a team that’s watching their season slip out from underneath them in a hurry. It’s clear that the chemistry in Toronto’s clubhouse is off right now as the pressure mounts and the results aren’t there. The Red Sox aren’t playoff bound this season, but they have no problem spoiling an AL East rivals hopes.

In the case for Texas, the Rangers have a guy in Mikolas who’s not faced the Mariners this season and that always works to the pitcher’s advantage. Seattle just finished up a road trip out east where they swept the aforementioned Red Sox and they are 8-18 SU in their last 26 at home after being away for a week or longer. Roenis Elias is also overpriced in this matchup in my opinion as odds makers had the freedom to jack up Seattle’s price knowing everyone would be fading Texas here. Yet, the M’s are 2-6 SU in Elias’ last eight starts overall and with Cano possibly out of the lineup tonight, I believe the majority (over 85%) of bettors get burned by Seattle tonight.