Derek - 38/100 - D Rock Sports

2015 NFL Betting Preview

NFL is just around the corner and in this post I am going to get you fine tuned for the upcoming NFL season from a bettors perspective. Preseason is wrapping up and it's key to note that I wouldn't take in too much to do with a teams record coming out of preseason. If a team owns a 4-0 record after preseason people tend to handicap week 1 games on how a team performed in the preseason by looking at their record. Big Mistake. For more September betting mistakes you can check out my article up here so you won't be done wrong early in the football betting season. With future bets I don't really look to take any OVER's because any time during the season a star player can get injured and would potentially crush my future play. Especially early on before the preseason I would never wager on an over win total for any team because of preseason injury's. Head Coaching Changes: Falcons - In: Dan Quinn (former Seahawks DC) Bears - In: John Fox (former Broncos HC) Bills - In: Rex Ryan (former Jets HC) Broncos - In: Gary Kubiak (former Texans HC) Jets - In: Todd Bowles (former Arizona DC) Raiders - In: Jack Del Rio (former Broncos DC) 49ers - In: Jim Tomsula (promoted from 49ers defensive line coach) Did Head Coach 1 game after Mike Singletary was fired Top 5 teams ATS 2014 (reg season): Arizona 11-5 Indy 10-5-1 Cleveland 9-5-2 KC 10-6 Minnesota 10-6 Top 5 Worst teams ATS 2014 (reg season): Tennessee 3-12-1 Washington 5-11 New Orleans 6-10 3 tied 49ers, Jets, Jags 6-9-1 Betting Tip for September: Betting can be hard sometimes because there [...]

By Derek|August 30th, 2015 6:30pm|Free Picks, NFL Picks, NFL Season Win Totals, NFL Strategy|0 Comments

Sunday FREE PLAY Bet Card

Got hammered yesterday 0-4, does happen have to pick myself back up after that and move on to today's card... My FREE play record is below, as always, by sport, TOP FREE play and star rating 1* = $100 TOP FREE PLAY 2015 – 66-62-4 (51.5%) (+$1104) TOP FREE PLAY 2014 – 88-83-3 (51.4%) (+$1782) MLB YTD 37-56-7 (40%) (-$1540) CFL YTD 4-1 (80%) (+$1050) NFL PRESEASON YTD 4-3-2 (57.1%) (+$204) 2015 YEAR-TO-DATE * - ($) August: 1* 14-33-3 (30%) -$987 2* 3-0 (100%) +$606 3* 3-0 (100%) +$1233 July: 1* 7-2-2 (77.7%) +$506 2* 2-1 (66.6%) +$180 3* 0-1 (0%) -$300 June: 1* 1-6 (14.2%) -$515 3* 0-2 (0%) -$699 MAY: 1* 4-11-1 (26.6%) -$742 April: 1* 14-6-3 (70%) +$987 March: 1* 16-20 (44.4%) -$444 February: 1* 10-9 (52.6%) +$34 January: 1* 23-19 (54.7%) +$501 All lines courtesy Pinnacle Sports (unless stated) TOP FREE play in BOLD MLB: Tigers ml +205 (sportsbook) risking $100 to win $205 Indians ml -130 (pinny) risking $130 to win $100 Rays ml -106 (sportsbook) risking $106 to win $100 PREMIUM PICK RESULTS can be always found here at Handicapperwatchdog.com Good luck to all tonight and enjoy the games!!

By Derek|August 30th, 2015 11:26am|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments

Saturday FREE PLAY Bet Card

Keep building off a big night two days ago, another plus money night now +$828 last two days, we keep rolling on with today's card, enjoy My FREE play record is below, as always, by sport, TOP FREE play and star rating 1* = $100 TOP FREE PLAY 2015 – 66-61-4 (52%) (+$1204) TOP FREE PLAY 2014 – 88-83-3 (51.4%) (+$1782) MLB YTD 37-53-7 (41.1%) (-$1240) CFL YTD 4-1 (80%) (+$1050) NFL PRESEASON YTD 4-2-2 (66.6%) (+$310) 2015 YEAR-TO-DATE * - ($) August: 1* 14-29-3 (32.5%) -$581 2* 3-0 (100%) +$606 3* 3-0 (100%) +$1233 July: 1* 7-2-2 (77.7%) +$506 2* 2-1 (66.6%) +$180 3* 0-1 (0%) -$300 June: 1* 1-6 (14.2%) -$515 3* 0-2 (0%) -$699 MAY: 1* 4-11-1 (26.6%) -$742 April: 1* 14-6-3 (70%) +$987 March: 1* 16-20 (44.4%) -$444 February: 1* 10-9 (52.6%) +$34 January: 1* 23-19 (54.7%) +$501 All lines courtesy Pinnacle Sports (unless stated) TOP FREE play in BOLD MLB: Tigers ml +230 (sportsbook) risking $100 to win $230 - No way should Hutch be favored in this range after being sent down to the minors "temporally" and his first game back be favored in this range. Rockies ml +236 (pinny) risking $100 to win $236 - Another pitcher in J. Happ who in no right mind should be favored in the -250 range. Yes Colorado is a mess especially their bullpen, but this time of year teams can be way overvalued and in this spot no way would I lay that kind of chalk with Happ. Twins ml +124 (sportsbook) risking $100 to win $124 - Fading Fiers off his no hitter last game ADDED Bonus NFL Preaseson: Giants -2 -106 (pinny) risking $106 to win $100 PREMIUM PICK [...]

By Derek|August 29th, 2015 12:26pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments

Friday FREE PLAY Bet Card

HUGE win last night +$750 with Montreal's SU win and cover let's keep building off that win with tonight's card, enjoy My FREE play record is below, as always, by sport, TOP FREE play and star rating 1* = $100 TOP FREE PLAY 2015 – 66-60-4 (52.3%) (+$1304) TOP FREE PLAY 2014 – 88-83-3 (51.4%) (+$1782) MLB YTD 36-52-7 (41%) (-$1318) CFL YTD 4-1 (80%) (+$1050) NFL PRESEASON YTD 4-2-2 (66.6%) (+$310) 2015 YEAR-TO-DATE * - ($) August: 1* 13-28-3 (30%) -$659 2* 3-0 (100%) +$606 3* 3-0 (100%) +$1233 July: 1* 7-2-2 (77.7%) +$506 2* 2-1 (66.6%) +$180 3* 0-1 (0%) -$300 June: 1* 1-6 (14.2%) -$515 3* 0-2 (0%) -$699 MAY: 1* 4-11-1 (26.6%) -$742 April: 1* 14-6-3 (70%) +$987 March: 1* 16-20 (44.4%) -$444 February: 1* 10-9 (52.6%) +$34 January: 1* 23-19 (54.7%) +$501 All lines courtesy Pinnacle Sports (unless stated) TOP FREE play in BOLD MLB: Tigers ml +171 (pinny) risking $100 to win $171 Red Sox ml +178 (pinny) risking $100 to win $178 PREMIUM PICK RESULTS can be always found here at Handicapperwatchdog.com Good luck to all tonight and enjoy the games!!

By Derek|August 28th, 2015 6:29pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments

Thursday FREE PLAY Bet Card

Past few days in bases have been brutal, today we get back Canadian Football where I have a 3* free play below, enjoy My FREE play record is below, as always, by sport, TOP FREE play and star rating 1* = $100 TOP FREE PLAY 2015 – 65-60-4 (52%) (+$1004) TOP FREE PLAY 2014 – 88-83-3 (51.4%) (+$1782) MLB YTD 36-52-7 (41%) (-$1318) CFL YTD 2-1 (66.6%) (+$300) NFL PRESEASON YTD 4-2-2 (66.6%) (+$310) 2015 YEAR-TO-DATE * - ($) August: 1* 12-28-3 (30%) -$1109 2* 3-0 (100%) +$606 3* 2-0 (100%) +$933 July: 1* 7-2-2 (77.7%) +$506 2* 2-1 (66.6%) +$180 3* 0-1 (0%) -$300 June: 1* 1-6 (14.2%) -$515 3* 0-2 (0%) -$699 MAY: 1* 4-11-1 (26.6%) -$742 April: 1* 14-6-3 (70%) +$987 March: 1* 16-20 (44.4%) -$444 February: 1* 10-9 (52.6%) +$34 January: 1* 23-19 (54.7%) +$501 All lines courtesy Pinnacle Sports (unless stated) TOP FREE play in BOLD CFL: Montreal +11 -105 (sportsbook) risking $315 to win $300 - Ti-cats continue to beat down opponents, 5 in a row with scoring more than 31 points in those games and only giving up at most 22 which they won that game 52-22. To make this line more inflated is that they haven't lost at Tim Hortons field since it opened last season a perfect 10-0. All of these reasons are why the number is inflated and in no way would I want to pay a premium for the Ti-cats in this spot. Ti-cats have a huge game next week in what is called the "Labour Day Classic" always against the Argos and this time first place is on the line for that game. No way can the Ti-cats keep up the pace they [...]

By Derek|August 27th, 2015 7:01pm|Free Picks, NFL Picks|0 Comments

About Derek

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