Tough 1-2 night with my premiums, but our double header flip flopped theory worked out well as the Marlins won a shootout; cashing both of my free plays. I’ve already sent out a full premium card to clients for today’s college football betting action, but I do still have two plays that just missed becoming premiums. So let’s get right to today’s college football free picks.

All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts ‘to win’ on favorites and flat on underdogs

Play of the Day in Bold

Free Play Records

MLB Pre All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691)

MLB post All Star Break: 47-43 (+$2817)

CFL YTD: 6-8 (-$266)

NCAAF YTD: 8-7 ATS (+$17) 

NFL YTD: 4-7 ATS (-$872)

College Football Free Betting Picks

Kansas +12 (-109) $218 to win $200

Syracuse +9 (-106) $212 to win $200

I’m grouping these two plays together as they’ve got a few things in common. For one, they are both home dogs that have seen the line move in their favor despite the majority of action going against them (reverse line movement), and both are up against big name, high profile schools that many recreational bettors have no problem backing week in and week out.

Secondly, both teams could easily be looking past their games this week as the Irish have a big home game with Stanford on deck, while Texas will be looking to knock off one of the top Big 12 teams in Baylor. When you see big time, talented programs right in front of you like that, it’s tough to give your full attention to the Kansas’ and Syracuse’s of the world and I believe that’s part of teh reason why we’ve seen these lines move like they have.

Although this isn’t a true road game for the Irish, they are 1-4 ATS on the road against ACC opponents in their last five tries and 0-3 ATS the last three times they’ve faced Syracuse. Rust may be an issue as Notre Dame is coming off their bye week where they no doubt spent at least half their prep time preparing for Stanford and that will hurt them here.

Texas is off a bye week as well as they really being life without David Ash. Kansas has covered the spread the last two years in this game and they’ve also played quite well at home this year with a 2-0 SU record. This is a great test for this Kansas program to see where they are at in terms of a measuring stick for their rebuild and I don’t believe they’ll win the game outright, but they won’t lose it by double digits.