It was a ho-hum weekend on the gridiron for me as my CFB premium plays went 4-6 ATS while I noted that my free play from Friday on Florida State was cancelled/bought off once it was announced that Winston would be out for the entire game. That OT win for the Seminoles have a lot of people doubting them the rest of the way with their future National Championship odds dropping, as did their opening number for this week’s game. I believe we could see plenty of value in them going forward but that discussion is for another day.

In the NFL, my free plays were 1-1 ATS as the Browns lost on the final play, while my premium plays went 3-2 on Sunday with one for tonight’s MNF game still pending. If you are looking to get on it, signing up is easy here at D Rock Sports and with a great start to the football season under my belt, now is a great time to get on board.

It’s on to tonight’s free plays though as I head back to the diamond for the most part with the final week of the MLB season kicking off tonight.

All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts ‘to win’ on favorites and flat on underdogs

Play of the Day in Bold

Free Play Records

MLB Pre All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691)

MLB post All Star Break: 43-42 (+$2059)

CFL YTD: 6-8 (-$266)

NCAAF YTD: 8-6 ATS (+$229) 

NFL YTD: 4-5 ATS (-$345)

NFL Free plays

Chicago/NYJ Under 45 (-106) $212 to win $200

This isn’t a popular pick with 75% of the action backing the high side of this total, but I’m siding with the odds makers here as they need a prime time game stay low. We’ve seen four straight prime time games sail over the total keeping the public bettors happy (who love favorites and overs) dating back to last week’s Bears/49ers game on SNF.

Chicago’s comeback was fueled by SF turnovers and while the Jets’ Geno Smith can be careless with the ball at times, he’s already shown me in two weeks of action that he’s taken big steps in improving that part of his game this year. Bears WR Alshon Jeffery and Brandon Marshall are still banged up and stopping the run is a strength of this Jets defense. These two teams don’t meet often, but the ‘under’ is 4-1 the last five times they have and New York comes in on a 2-5 O/U run after allowing 30+. If there is one thing Rex Ryan hates during his tenure with the Jets it’s his defense getting lit up and after a long week of practice I expect New York’s defense to have their best game of the season.

Many are going to point to Cutler’s strong play last week as a reason to expect a lot of points tonight, but this is still a Jekyll and Hyde QB and you really don’t know which one is going to show up on a given night. Simply put he’s a guy that I can’t trust to be scoring points all night and I believe he struggles tonight with a lookahead game vs. Green Bay on deck. The fact that the low side of this total is in the minority is something I like as the SU winner of this game is the only one of the two teams to crack the 20-point barrier.

MLB Free plays

LAA/Oakland Over 7 (-105) $315 to win $300

CJ Wilson on the road, need I say more? Wilson takes his 33-15-3 O/U mark in his last 51 road starts to the hill tonight and as he’s gone 15-4-2 O/U the last 21 times he’s been a road dog. As a team the Angels are 7-1 O/U in their last eight on the road and have a perfect 7-0 O/U run going in series openers. Wilson is someone that you know I love to take ‘over’ when he’s away from the Big A, and tonight’s no different.

Oakland needs every win they can get right now and I expect them to knock Wilson around a bunch. They are 5-1 O/U the last six times they’ve faced Wilson and the Angels at home and overall the ‘over’ is on a 26-10-4 run here in Oakland when these two teams meet. Jeff Samardzija hasn’t been the dominant guy the A’s were looking for since they acquired him, and with a 6-2 O/U run following a Quality Start and a 5-2 O/U run going in his last seven at home, I believe we see double digit runs scored tonight.