It’s only Friday, but with a lot of NFL lines likely to be shifting around in the next 48 hours, I thought it was best to give you guys these plays now before the numbers start to move. I’ve just sent out a 6-pack of NFL premium plays to my clients, so it’s not too late to get your name added to the mailing list to get on those plays. I was 5-1 ATS in the NFL last week with my premium plays and look to keep it going again this week.

There are a couple of plays that didn’t quite make the cut in terms of being premiums, but they are still very strong in my opinion. They are so strong in fact that I’m putting three units on each and giving them to you now so you can get the best of the line.

All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports (unless stated otherwise) with bet amounts ‘to win’ on favorites and flat on underdogs

Play of the Day in Bold

Free Play Records

MLB Pre All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691)

MLB post All Star Break: 43-42 (+$2059)

CFL YTD: 6-8 (-$266)

NCAAF YTD: 8-5 ATS (+$529) pending

NFL YTD: 3-4 ATS (-$333)

NFL Free Plays

Cleveland +1.5 (-104) $312 to win $300

The Browns may be coming off a huge underdog win over the Saints last week and will have many people looking to fade them after a win like that, but for a team that’s been so bad for so long, there really isn’t any such thing as a letdown spot. The fact that Cleveland hung tough with the Saints all afternoon, blew a lead late and didn’t fold during their comeback attempt will give this team plenty of confidence going forward and I believe they ride that wave of momentum into this week’s game against Baltimore.

The Ravens had an interesting week as well after they blew out the Steelers on a short week after dealing with all the emotions and attention following the Ray Rice story. Baltimore’s players rallied around one another on the field that night and dominated the Steelers from start to finish. If you want to talk about a letdown spot, this is it for the Ravens after that emotional, trying week because it’s almost impossible for them to bring that same kind of intensity to this game against a Browns team they routinely take care of.

Add in the fact that this is Baltimore’s third straight division game (always an auto-fade spot for me) and the Ravens have to be completely drained mentally and physically. Baltimore is 1-4 ATS after playing the Steelers and one of those losses came in Cleveland last year when the Browns beat Baltimore 24-18 when the line was exactly the same as it is now (Baltimore -1.5). Cleveland is 9-2 ATS as dogs when coming off a SU win and I believe they win this game outright.

The script won’t change this year as the Browns surprise many with the outright win over the Ravens this week.

Washington +6.5 (-115) (Line taken from the Greek) $345 to win $300

The Eagles are the toast of the town right now as their offense has exploded for 30+ in both games and they’ve managed to overcome 1st half deficits in both. Philly should be able to claim this NFC East division in the end, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be some stumbles along the way.

Philly is 1-5 ATS in the Chip Kelly era when playing a team off a double-digit victory and if you go back before the Kelly regime you’ll find that the Eagles are 1-7 ATS the last eight times they’ve been at home and playing a division rival that’s coming off a double-digit SU win. Washington fits both of those criterion and with pocket passer Kirk Cousins fully entrenched in the starters role, the Redskins offense took off.

However, we can’t forget about this Washington defense either as they’ve played very well to this season. Philly will be by far and away the best offense they’ve faced, but Washington’s confident they’ll be able to keep up offensively with the Eagles as they count on their defense to hold the fort. This is WR’s Desean Jackson’s return to his former club remember and I have no doubt that his new teammates will help him send a message to his former ones.

Finally, Washington has the Giants on deck next Thursday and that makes this spot even more favorable for the Redskins. Washington is 6-1 ATS the week before a TNF game and they’ve got an 11-2 ATS run going before they play the Giants. Washington is also 11-2 ATS on the road against a division opponent that’s .500 or better and are 7-1 ATS in the first four games of the season when they are .500 or better and playing a team coming off back-to-back wins.

All of this adds up to what I believe will be a SU win as underdogs for Washington, but I’m taking these points to be safe.