It was a decent Saturday of College Football yesterday for me as my premium selections went 5-2 ATS while my free plays went 3-2 ATS after I swept the afternoon card and got swept at night. I’ve learned throughout my years of handicapping football that I tend to have more success and would rather put in the work for college football than the NFL as I feel the NFL lines are a lot sharper and are tougher to beat. I’d rather spend my time trying to beat the softer lines which is why you’ll see me have many more college plays than NFL this season, but there are still plenty of great betting opportunities in the NFL.

With that being said I’ve got four premium NFL plays already locked and loaded for subscribers and am giving you all these suggestions on a couple of totals.

All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts ‘to win’ on favorites and flat on underdogs

Play of the Day in Bold

Free Play Records

MLB Pre All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691)

MLB Post All Star Break: 37-34 (+$2245)

CFL YTD: 6-8 (-$266)

NCAAF YTD: 6-3 ATS (+$656)

NFL Free plays

Jacksonville/Philly Over 51.5 (+100) $200 to win $200

Games between AFC and NFC teams were a gold mine for over bettors as they cashed on the high side of the total at a near 70% clip. I don’t think that will change in Philly today as the Eagles ultra-fast offense gets to take on one of the projected worst teams in the league. Jacksonville is on a 5-2 O/U run on the road entering the year and if Gus Bradley’s team has any interest in pulling off the upset today they’ll need 30+ points to do it.

We’ve got a small majority on the low side of this total as nobody has faith in Jacksonville’s offense to score, but the Jags will surprise a few people this year with how many times they cover the spread (I think they will today FYI), as this offense is now in it’s second year in Bradley’s system. Everyone knows about the Eagles ability to put up 30+ on anyone, but the Jags will try to match them score for score today as we should see this game finish with 55 or more points. If you can buy off that nasty hook (0.5) on 51 it’s an even better play in my opinion as 51 is a key number in totals betting and although we’ve got +100 odds here, losing by the hook always stings.

New Orleans/Atlanta Under 52 (-103) $309 to win $300

The Saints enter the 2014 season as everyone’s favorite pick to go all the way this season thanks to a reloaded offense that people believe will score at will. 80% of the action has come in on the high side of this total as many believe we will see a shootout in the Georgia Dome but the history between these two teams suggests otherwise.

In their two meetings last season, New Orleans won both games by 23-17 and 17-13 scores. There is no love lost between these two division rivals and hatred like that tends to bleed out into a very physical game. The under is a perfect 5-0 the last five times they’ve played in Atlanta, and the Saints are 0-6 O/U in their last six away from home. New Orleans is actually on a 2-12 run in games against NFC opponents and part of that run was the Saints 1-5 O/U mark against division rivals a year ago.

As always, I’ve got no problem being in the minority, something I especially look to do in  NFL betting. I’m expecting the Falcons and Saints to hold true to form when they meet up and keep this one under this high total.