I was 0-1-1 with my plays yesterday as Miami couldn’t find a way to come all the way back against the Cards and Colorado got mowed down by Kershaw once again. The Dodgers did do enough scoring to get me that push which limited the damage. It’s on to the next one as always though, so let’s get right to the picks for tonight’s card.

All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts “to win” on favorites and flat on underdogs

Play of the Day in Bold

MLB YTD: 86-89-11 (+$967)

MLB Plays

Baltimore/Boston Over 9 (+110) “Game 2” $300 to win $330

This play is all about the double header strategy we have posted here at D Rock Sports after the Red Sox walked off with a 3-2 win in the 9th. Lester and Gonzalez both pitched well in that contest as there were strikeouts everywhere, but I don’t think that will be the case tonight. I’m flip-flopping with the total here and although I do think there is some value in doing the same with Baltimore on the ML (+134), I have more trust in riding both offenses then I do with the Orioles trying to come out on top.

Toronto/Oakland Over 7.5 (+111) $300 to win $333

Game 3 of this Jays/A’s series fits another line of thought we like to talk about here at the site and that’s going with ‘overs’ after two straight ‘unders’ or vice-versa. So far there hasn’t been much offense in this series with two straight low-scoring games and that will change tonight. Mark Buehrle has come back down to earth a bit after his phenomenal start to the season and Toronto is 4-1-1 O/U the last six times Buehrle’s had a full five days of rest. He’s also the first left-handed the A’s have seen this series and Oakland is 7-1 O/U in their last eight at home against a southpaw.

Houston Astros ML (+147) $300 to win $441

It’s been awhile since I’ve had the Astros on my card and for good reason. They were a team that was playing much better than expected the first two months of the year and I was happily picking my spots backing them at + money odds. However, Houston came back down to the basement where many people had them before the year started after a horrible month of June. This is still a young team that is trying to let their young guys learn with trial by fire, but as they learn how to win, they’ll become a much better squad in future seasons.

That doesn’t mean we can’t as bettors pick our spots with the Astros this year and against a Angels pitcher in Santiago who has an 0-7 SU record this year, I don’t see why tonight’s not one of those spots. L.A is 2-10 SU in Santiago’s last 10 starts overall and a guy with his below average stuff does not deserve to be favored this heavily. Houston is a much better offensive team against southpaws (.266 team avg vs. lefties compared to .219 vs. righties) and I believe they find a way to get the job done tonight.