I started the week with a small losing day going 1-1 on my plays but my top play on the ‘under’ in the Padres never really having a chance. I’m still trying to recover from a horrible 7+ days in MLB but I’m confident I’ll get back there as there are quite a few plays I like on tonight’s MLB board.

All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts “to win” on favorites and flat on underdogs

Play of the Day in Bold

NHL YTD: 9-12-2 (-$177)

NBA YTD: 12-13-1 (-$187)

MLB YTD: 45-52-6 (-$509)

MLB Plays

Toronto/Detroit Over 9 (-110) $220 to win $200

The Jays gave starter Drew Hutchinson a few extra days of rest prior to this start because they believe he was fatigued and his declining velocity proved their concerns. Hutchinson has been hit or miss for Toronto all year but I wouldn’t want to throw him out there with regressing stuff against the #1 batting average team in the AL (Detroit) after the Tigers are looking to bust out after getting blanked in their last game.

We’ve got a strong wind blowing out to left field tonight and given all the power and potential for HR’s on both sides, this should be an old fashioned slugfest. Six of the last seven games between these two have gone over the total and Toronto is 7-1 O/U the last eight times they’ve been a road underdog. Be prepared for fireworks tonight

LAA/Houston Over 8 (-114) $342 to win $300

C.J Wilson is out on the road again tonight and even though I got burned with the ‘over’ in his last road start, I couldn’t get much help from the other side with Felix Hernandez on the hill. However, the Angels are in Houston tonight to face an Astros team they’ve beat up on all season. This is the tail end of a three-series road trip for the Angels – all against division rivals – so fatigue might be a factor but they should still pound the ball around the yard.

Wilson’s O/U numbers on the road can’t be ignored either. Despite the loss last time, he is still 27-4-3 O/U in his last 34 starts away from hom and that number is 12-3-1 O/U when he is a road favorite. Going further, when those favorite odds are -150 or less, LAA is 7-0 O/U the last seven times Wilson’s been on the hill and with Houston being 3-0-1 O/U in their last four home games against a southpaw, runs will be scored tonight.

Cleveland ML (-115) $230 to win $200

This play is all about fading a team (Boston) after they have a long winning streak of six+ games snapped. Cleveland’s 3-2 win in the series opener last week was the one that ended Boston’s run, but in the last week alone we’ve already seen this situation be profitable twice.

The first was after Toronto lost their long winning streak against KC last Thursday and they promptly dropped Friday’s game as well. The very next day it was the Astros that lost for the first time in a week and they ended up losing on Sunday too. This system is one I’ve adapted from football and basketball when a perfect season is in range and it’s always treated me well over the years. Obviously a perfect season is impossible in MLB, but after a team gets on a roll and it’s halted, it takes them a game or two to regain that mojo.

Tonight will be no different for the Red Sox.