It was a profitable night on Friday even though it was only a 2-2 night. My play of the day on the underdog Pirates came through as did the Giants against Wainwright. Miami and Seattle were losers for me and after a tough stretch of 10+ days I decided to get away from it all over the weekend and regroup today. It was great to see DRock carry the torch with a great weekend of plays for you guys and I’m looking to start this week off in similar fashion.
All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts “to win” on favorites and flat on underdogs
Play of the Day in Bold
NHL YTD: 9-12-2 (-$177)
NBA YTD: 12-13-1 (-$187)
MLB YTD: 44-51-6 (-$443)
MLB Plays
KC Royals ML (+129) $200 to win $258
After getting shutdown by Buerhle and the Jays yesterday, KC is off to play their in-state rival Cardinals tonight and they catch the Red Birds on a bit of a slide. St Louis just failed an early season test against the best from the West (SF), losing three of four at home to San Francisco over the weekend. Other than the lone loss, San Fran’s offense really did a number on the Cardinals pitching staff with 23 runs scored in the three wins. KC might be one of the weaker hitting squads, but they get the Cardinals weakest starter (Miller) and a tired bullpen tonight and could make this one ugly early.
What makes matters worse for St Louis is the fact that they are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against a southpaw starter and that includes an 0-7 SU record when that lefty comes from an AL team. The Cards have a .228 average as a team against lefties this season and after the emotional series with a great rival, I don’t think the Cards have much left in the tank for tonight’s game and quite frankly Shelby Miller is grossly overpriced here.
San Diego Under 7 (-108) $324 to win $300
San Diego’s starter Tim Stauffer lasted 0.1 innings his last time out as the Diamondbacks were on everything he threw. Well I expect him to be a lot better back at home against a Pirates team that is riding high from taking three of four from the Dodgers this weekend. The last of those wins came on Sunday Night Baseball and I doubt the Pirates have completely switched their focus over to the Padres.
Neither team has really hit the ball well lately either and Petco Park is very pitcher friendly. Many bettors will see Stauffer out there and remember his blowup last time, but he’s still got just a 4.50 ERA on the year. With a 0-5 O/U record for the Padres after being away from hoime for at least a week and a 3-13-2 O/U mark the last 18 times Stauffer has been a home favorite, don’t expect too many runs tonight.
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