After taking a couple of days off from the free plays and basically breaking even on Saturday-Monday in Football with my premium plays (capped off with the Steelers last night), I’m back with a free play tonight on the college football game as we’ve got another Tuesday night game.

All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts ‘to win’ on favorites and flat on underdogs

Play of the Day in Bold

Free Play Records

MLB Pre All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691)

MLB post All Star Break: 47-43 (+$2817)

MLB Playoffs : 4-2 (+$670)

CFL YTD: 6-8 (-$266)

NCAAF YTD: 14-15 ATS (-$607) 

NFL YTD: 7-11 ATS (-$1224)

NHL YTD: 0-2 (-$500)

College Football Free Play

Arkansas State/Louisiana-Lafayette Over 57.5 (-106) $318 to win $300

I’m definitely not opposed to buying the hook off this key number of 57 and paying a little bit extra in juice, but I believe this game will see 60+ points so I am not opposed to leaving it as is either.

This line jumped a good 2.5 points earlier this afternoon from it’s number of 54.5 and that big of a move does not go unnoticed. Lafayette has scored an average of 33.3 points per game at home this year and although one of those games was against an FCS school, the number only drops to 27/game in their two FBS contests. The Ragin Cajuns have also allowed an average of 39.5 at home in those two FBS contests, so don’t be surprised to see plenty of points scored both ways tonight.

Lafayette is 18-7-1 O/U in their last 26 home games and have a perfect 4-0 O/U mark after rushing for 200+ yards last time out. QB Terrence Broadway is a huge threat with his legs and if Ark State loads the box to limit Broadway’s running ability, there will be plenty of room downfield for his receivers.

Arkansas State scored 52 points themselves in their last game and prior to last year’s embarrassing 23-7 home loss in this rivalry game, they had scored 50 and 30 points in their previous two with Lafayette. Combine all those numbers with the drastic line move and I think we see a shootout tonight.