We went 2-0 with our premium picks yesterday, but my free card was a forgettable one finishing up 0-3. Rather than vent about what could have been, it’s on to tonight board and with every team in action there is plenty to chose from.

All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts ‘to win’ on favorites and flat on underdogs

Play of the Day in Bold

MLB pre-All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691)

MLB post-All Star Break: 19-20 (+$853)

CFL YTD: 5-6 (+$34)

MLB plays

Milwaukee/Chicago Over 7 (-123) $369 to win $300

These two played to a 3-1 game in the opener last night, but with a strong over umpire (13-8 O/U) that averages 8.9 runs per game, I believe the script will flip tonight.

Both starters in this game have been the beneficiaries of some good run support of late (5/game and 4.7/game) so it’s not like their teammates won’t back them up tonight. Milwaukee is 4-0 O/U in Peralta’s last four starts on the road and has a 5-1 O/U run going when he pitches off of only four days rest. The Brewers are 7-3 O/U in his last 10 starts overall too, and with the Cubs being 23-7-2 O/U in their last 32 against a winning team, this game has too many factors favoring the high side of this total that I can’t help but make it my top play today.

Kansas City ML (+133) $200 to win $266

Another game that fits a strong strategy we like to use here as Oakland’s Jon Lester is coming off a complete game shutout in his last outing. That calls for a fade in his next start and it just so happens he’s up against the hottest team in the league right now. The Royals took over 1st place in the AL Central with their win last night and I believe they stay there with another victory tonight.