It was another solid 3-1 day for me on Saturday with another top play (on the Dodgers) cashing for me. It’s been a good little run for me with those top plays at 7-1-2 over my last 10, but I’m looking to end the first half of the MLB season on a high note today. It’s the ultimate getaway day for players as the majority of them have three full days off away from the team, the game and the hotel rooms, ans will be able to spend some quality time with their families. That means we shouldn’t expect too many games to last long tonight as the players are going to make the most of their free time. In fact, on this day (final day before All-star break) we’ve seen ‘unders’ go 14-27-4 the past three seasons, so expect a lot of games to stay low. Those records were 6-9 O/U (2013), 4-9-2 O/U (2012), and 4-9-2 O/U (2011), so with numbers like that I wouldn’t be opposed to placing a bet on every single ‘under’ today and look to be up a few units.

However, I’m hoping to find the best ones for you with my plays today so we can head into the downtime with some padded bankrolls.

All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts “to win” on favorites and flat on underdogs

Play of the Day in Bold

MLB YTD: 101-103-13 (+$1646)

CFL YTD: 0-1 (-$200)

MLB Plays

 Boston/Houston Under 8.5 (-113) $339 to win $300

There’s no team in the majors that are more free-swinging than the Houston Astros as they rely heavily on the HR ball to score the majority of their runs. Houston is 1-5 O/U the last six times Peacock has been a home underdog and a perfect 0-5 O/U when he’s pitching off only four days of rest. He is 1-4 O/U in his last five starts and with Boston being 5-11-2 O/U in Buchholz’s last 18 starts as a road fav of -150 or less, this one should stay low.

Finally, we’ve got Marty Foster calling balls and strikes today and he’s gone 2-6-1 O/U in his last nine games behind the dish.

St Louis/Milwaukee Under 8.5 (+100) $ 200 to win $200

Give me + money on an under on a day like this with over 90% of bettors coming in on the high side of this total and I’ll bite. Books have only adjusted the juice on this total and not moved it up to that key number of 9, which is key information regarding this line. We’ve also got a home plate umpire in Jeff Nelson who is 6-10 O/U this season and after two straight overs in this series, this finale does fit our usual strategy of flip flopping totals as well.

LAA/Texas Under 9.5 (+107) $200 to win $214

I got on D Rock’s case yesterday for continuing to back Texas as the Rangers are in a rapid free-fall right now. They are a team that needs this break more than anyone just to try and regroup and plan out how much they’ll be selling off at the trade deadline. If you are going to see one team today that’s free swinging to get a game over quick, the Texas Rangers are favorites to do so.

Both teams will have to deal with a large strike zone thanks to Clint Fagan and his 5-15 O/U record this year and with the line on this game coming down from 10 with the majority on the high side, I’m siding with the movement again.

Minnesota/Colorado Under 9.5 (-108) $216 to win $200

Another game that has moved off of that 10 number with the ‘under side being favored. Haven’t ignored that kind of movement with my earlier plays today and not about to change things now.