Sunday NFL action is less than 24 hours away so before the numbers start moving too much on us and you’re forced to take a bad line, I’m getting my NFL free picks out to you all now. As a general thought, after all those ‘overs’ last week (10-3 O/U) I’d be cautious about backing the high sides of totals this week and would guess that if you were to take every single game ‘under’ this week you’d come out ahead. That being said, my favorite ‘under’ bets this week would be in Philly, Atlanta, New Orleans, Detroit and San Francisco.

As far as free plays go, I’ve got a side play in SNF that just missed out on making my premium card (I have sent out 6 plays)

All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts ‘to win’ on favorites and flat on underdogs

Play of the Day in Bold

Free Play Records

MLB Pre All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691)

MLB post All Star Break: 47-43 (+$2817)

MLB Playoffs : 3-0 (+$1039) pending

CFL YTD: 6-8 (-$266)

NCAAF YTD: 8-10 ATS (-$629) pending

NFL YTD: 5-8 ATS (-$798)

NFL plays

New England +1/ML (-110) $330 to win $300

Everyone remembers New England getting blown out on MNF in KC last week and the Bengals could do no wrong for bettors in the first three weeks of the season. But the early season bye hurts a team like Cincinnati when they are on a roll and heading into New England to take on an angry Patriots team is not the position Marvin Lewis and the Bengals want to be in.

Being a Cincinnati fan as I’ve stated many times on this site, I feel like I’ve got a good read on this team and with everyone jumping on their bandwagon this week, it’s exactly the time the Bengals let me down. It’s not often the Patriots are home underdogs, but perception of both teams is all out of whack at the moment. I know the Bengals have to come back down to earth a bit and although New England has had some rough games on film so far this year, it’s when these 1st place opponents roll into town that we see the best out of Tom Brady and company.

As a fan, watching the Bengals lose is something I never like, but as a bettor this is a game they’ll drop.