2016 Total Overall Units +86.84 units
2015 Total Overall Units 481-433 (52.6%) +197.09 Units
DBB (Drock Best Bet) in BOLD
2016 – 110-98-3 (52.8%) +35.90 units
September – 8-14 (36.3%) -18.68 units
August – 6-7 (46.1%) -8.80 units
July – 8-4 (66.6%) +15.07 units
June – 8-11 (42.1%) +5.54 units
May – 17-11 (60.7%) +16.58 units
April – 16-11-2 (59.2%) +13.17 units
March – 16-13 (55.1%) +11.51 units
February – 17-11 (60.7%) +10.2 units
January – 14-16-1 (46.8%) -12.16 units
2015 DBB– (138-121-4) overall (53.2%) +71.69 units
2014 DBB– (43-35-4) overall (54.5%) +38.23 units
10* GOY (all time) – 5-0-1 (100%) +50 units
2016 CFL:
16-16 (50%) +21.64 units
2016 CFB:
9-18 (33.3%) -25.74 units
2016 NFL:
11-7 (61.1%) +11.12 units
Previous NFL & CFB seasons:
NFL:
2013: 60-49 (55.04%) +15.78 units
2014: 61-41 (59.8%) +48.59 units
2015: 44-44 (50%) +16.86 units
CFB:
2013: 61-51 (54.4) +13.55 units
2014: 55-55 (50%) +4.24 units
2015: 64-54 (54.2%) +28.18 units
MLB: (Friday)
First Pitch 7:05pm EDT
GM 902 Nationals ml -125 (pinnacle) risking $500 to win $400
GM 902 Nationals RL -1.5 +174 (pinnacle) risking $200 to win $348
CFL: (Saturday)
Kickoff 4pm EDT
GM 281/282 Stamps/Ticats UNDER 55 -106 (pinnacle) risking $212 to win $200
CFB: (Friday)
Kickoff 10pm EDT
GM 110 Washington -2.5 -115 (SB) risking $230 to win $200 (Best Bet Friday)
CFB: (Saturday)
Kickoff 12pm EDT
GM 129 ND -10.5 -108 (pinnacle) risking $216 to win $200
ND off two upset losses at home ended the defensive coordinators position at ND this week. To me this is a buy low spot on the Irish. We get a top ranked school just a week ago fall from the rankings after losses to MSU and Duke. A pissed off Brian Kelly who has publicly promises to be more fiery on the sidelines. I believe he will be more prepared as his coaching seat got a little more hotter this week. I see a lot more passion and willingness to win on this neutral field. I know this is an inexperienced defense only bringing back 4 starters, but with a new DC at the helm I believe he will be ready and the players will focus on keeping the ball out of the end-zone all week. Syracuse might or might not be starting their QB this week and are coming off an upset win at UCONN last week. I see a nasty bunch of Irish out to prove all the media wrong about this team.
Kickoff 3:30pm EDT
GM 167 Louisiana-Monroe +33.5 -110 (SB) risking $220 to win $200
Bad spot for Auburn off an upset win against LSU sandwiched between them and SEC opponent Mississippi st.
GM 178 Georgia +4 -110 (SB) risking $220 to win $200
Georgia looked awful last week vs Ole Miss and this is one of those public perception games where no one thinks Georgia should be ranked, believe they prove the public wrong this week versus Tennessee
Kickoff 5pm EDT
GM 201 Oklahoma -3.5 -106 (pinnacle) risking $212 to win $200
Unranked Fav. Simply put if a lower seeded/unranked team is favored over a higher seeded team then the oddsmakers are trying to tell you something. The higher seeded team isn’t always better than the lower seeded team. The general betting public see’s a seeded team getting points and thinks the bookmakers are giving away free money (public perception). the good ol saying “if it’s too good to be true, it usually is” Oklahoma has had a week to stew over the thrashing by Ohio st in primetime so I fully expect this team to be focused on Saturday. This was a top 5 team coming into this season now 1-2 with a big game against BIG 12 rival TCU. The oddsmakers did not get this number wrong they should be favored here and I expect them to win and cover this small number.
Kickoff 6pm EDT
GM 184 Cali -1.5 -110 (SB) risking $220 to win $200
Unranked fav.
Kickoff 8pm EDT
GM 164 Clemson ml +115 (SB) risking 300 to win $345 (Best Bet Saturday)
This will be the game to watch this CFB Saturday. All the hype has been Lamar Jackson and the Louisville Cardinals. When a team gets hyped so does the line and with it moving from Clemson -3 to the Cardinals -2 and seeing 60% of the public on the Cards, this is a huge red flag. Clemson QB Watson has got to be tired already of watching and seeing everything about Lamar Jackson and the Louisville Cardinals this week. Clemson has a 18 game home winning streak and this building is as tough to play in as it comes.
1. Louisville Rushing Offense vs. Clemson Rushing Defense
The Cardinals have scored 19 rushing touchdowns in four games. Clemson has allowed three rushing TDs in four games. The Cardinals are averaging better than 7.8 yards per carry. Clemson is allowing less than 2.6 yards per carry. Louisville has run for at least 272 yards in every game. No team has run for 272 yards on Clemson since Georgia beat the Tigers with Todd Gurley on Aug. 30, 2014, 32 games ago. Louisville rushed for 19 (2015) and 52 yards (2014) the last two times the teams played. In the last two-plus seasons, two of Clemson’s five best performances against the run have come against Louisville. The four big man up front for Clemson average 305 pounds, this will be tough to run inside against them and will have to force Jackson outside but against an athletic outside it will be tough to run on this team. Remember Clemson D practices against a mobile QB in Watson everyday and should be prepared for the mobility of Jackson.
2. Louisville Passing Attack vs. Clemson Pass Defense
Louisville has scored 15 passing touchdowns in four games. Clemson has allowed two passing touchdowns in four games. We know how dangerous Petrino’s offense becomes when he has an offensive line that maintains a pocket and a quarterback who throws the ball with accuracy. Over the last three seasons, no team in the Atlantic Coast Conference has played pass defense better than Clemson. The Tigers have ranked first (2016), second (2015), first (2014) and third (2013) in pass defense during that stretch. Guess which defense leads the ACC in interceptions this season? Clemson with seven. In the last three-plus season, the Clemson defense has more interceptions (53) than touchdowns allowed (47). Clemson can’t score with Louisville, unless the Tigers get assistance from their defense. The Cardinals have rolled to four victories even though they’re minus-3 in turnover margin. But that’s a formula for trouble against a top five team on the road.
3. Louisville Rushing Defense vs. Clemson Rushing Attack
The Tigers rank 11th in the ACC in rushing, averaging a modest 4.2 yards per carry and one rushing touchdown per game. Clemson’s leading rusher is Wayne Gallman at merely 64 yards per game. Gallman, remember, gashed Louisville for 139 yards in 2015. Stopping Gallman and Watson from returning to their 2015 form will be key for Todd Grantham’s U of L defense.
Clemson 37 Louisville 27
GM 200 Indiana +7 -110 (SB) risking $220 to win $200
Kickoff 9:30pm EDT
GM 215 Oregon -1.5 -107 (pinnacle) risking $214 to win $200
You ask why am I moving on a public road fav? I like to move on a team after poor performances when the team holds a player only meeting. Oregon held a players only meeting this week after two straight losses. These meetings are indicators to me that players will come out extra motivated to win.
**There is one more unranked fav this week OK st. I believe that number will come down before game-time.**
NFL: (Sunday)
NFL is all about public perception, how one views a team based on previous results. We have below what I believe are the rightful candidates this week staying within all my other means in terms of how I go about handicapping the games. I have gotten what I believe will be the best numbers to grab before kickoff on Sunday.
Kickoff 1pm EDT
GM 259 Panthers -3 -113 (pinnacle) risking $339 to win $300 (Best Bet Sunday)
Ok Panthers are a public team and I preach to stay away from these teams yes, but we have a situational spot that favors me to move with them this week.
- Falcons are off a Prime time match-up where they put up huge offensive numbers for the public to witness.
- Falcons off getting their double revenge against division rival New Orleans
- Falcons third divisional game in 4 weeks
- home sandwich spot between two two game road trips – next game against Super Bowl Champion Broncos
- Falcons gave the Panthers their only regular season loss last season, so see a little extra motivation from Carolina this week
What I see in this game is Carolina will be focused on protecting Cam. In Carolina’s two losses against Denver and Minnesota, both teams were able to pressure Cam and force him to make bad decisions and take hits (there one win against the 49ers, they protected Cam against a weak pass rush, similar situation here). It worked for Denver in the Super Bowl and seems to be the key to beating the Panthers. The thing is, the Falcons rank close to the bottom in pass rushing and I don’t see them being able to pressure Cam into those mistakes like the Vikings and Broncos were able to do. With the focus being on protecting Cam this week in practice, Carolina has the offensive line talent to adjust and do what it takes in the trenches to get the job done on Sunday. With a 1-2 start for Carolina this game needed for them to start rolling as the pressure from around is full blown as this is the first of 3 straight games against divisional opponents. With currently only 57% of the public backing this team tells me some have written off the Panthers after the Falcons offense has looked unstoppable. Usually the Panthers would be a 65% + team to cover. Tough to do but laying the road chalk this week.
GM 262 Bears +3 -115 (SB) risking $230 to win $200
Kickoff 4:05pm EDT
GM 268 Bucs +3.5 -115 (SB) risking $230 to win $200
Kickoff 4:25pm EDT
GM 270 49ers +3 -110 (SB) risking $220 to win $200
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