Football is back!! It’s Christmas in September and I couldn’t be happier. It’s a long wait, so take it all in as football season goes by fast. If you haven’t yet, I have written a great piece on NFL and CFB prep, betting strategies and teams I will be looking to rise/fall from an ATS perspective this upcoming football season. Please exercise bankroll management this season as it can make or break your season. You all work hard for your money, so please stress money management and not blow your bankroll in the first week of the football season. Patience is key and you don’t need to wager on every game that is on TV.
August: I look back at my month of investments after my first losing month in 16 months. Yes 16 months, my last losing month was back in April 2015 -2.32 units. I pride myself on ROI and my consistency to maintain a high level of return of my money. August was not the case losing close to 30 units!! I pick my spots carefully and do not shy away from the moneyline. Every lose is noted and analyzed so I don’t make the same mistake twice. One mistake I made was overindulging in the Summer Olympics. I also took too many deep shots on the runline early in August on baseball and played outside my comfort zone in some pricey favs early on which lost and dug an early hole I never could get out of. I did run into some unfortunate luck on several moves, but that is the nature of the beast in this industry sometimes. I did put myself in the right situational spots this month and will continue to do so in September. When I put my money on a move I expect a return and that’s not going to change for September. I don’t press and will continue to grind away this September. I do have a strong set of loyal followers and I appreciate the positive encourage through a tough August. I appreciate every loyal follower and respect those who have been sticking by my side. I love doing what I do, I always will and I will always try and put us on the right side more than the wrong side.
One thing is I will not be posting a GOY on my website if I have one this football season. I will be sending it out in my newsletter to loyal readers.
With that let’s get to tonight’s card:
2016 Total Overall Units +104.56
2015 Total Overall Units 481-433 (52.6%) +197.09 Units
DBB (Drock Best Bet) in BOLD
2016 – 102-84-3 (54.8%) +54.6 units
September – 0-0 (0%) 0 units
August – 6-7 (46.1%) -8.80 units
July – 8-4 (66.6%) +15.07 units
June – 8-11 (42.1%) +5.54 units
May – 17-11 (60.7%) +16.58 units
April – 16-11-2 (59.2%) +13.17 units
March – 16-13 (55.1%) +11.51 units
February – 17-11 (60.7%) +10.2 units
January – 14-16-1 (46.8%) -12.16 units
2015 DBB– (138-121-4) overall (53.2%) +71.69 units
2014 DBB– (43-35-4) overall (54.5%) +38.23 units
10* GOY (all time) – 5-0-1 (100%) +50 units
For those who are interested in my previous seasons of football, here are my results. I have kept my results since September 2015 documented at pickmonitor.com and will continue to keep them documented there as it’s free and a reputable monitoring website, unlike many others.
2016 CFL:
12-10 (60%) +19.58 units
2016 CFB:
1-0 (100%) +2.0 units
2016 NFL:
0-0 (0%) 0 units
Previous NFL & CFB seasons:
NFL:
2013: 60-49 (55.04%) +15.78 units
2014: 61-41 (59.8%) +48.59 units
2015: 44-44 (50%) +16.86 units
CFB:
2013: 61-51 (54.4) +13.55 units
2014: 55-55 (50%) +4.24 units
2015: 64-54 (54.2%) +28.18 units
Remember one key to success this season is having both a sharp and public sportsbook to grab the best number and best odds available. I use Sportsbook.ag alot this football season as I move on a lot against the public and you normally can get a number a half point to a full point better than at a sharp sportsbook. It’s highly recommended that you use both to increase your ROI and I have fully explained it in a piece in my betting strategies section of this website.
CFB:
Kickoff 7pm EDT
GM 135 Charlotte +39 -110 (SB) risking $220 to win $200
You have to ask….What does Louisville have to gain by winning by 40 points on Charlotte tonight? Nothing at all. The next two weeks they play 2 ACC Atlantic foes in Syracuse and a big one with Florida St.. I don’t think their mentality first game is to run up the score on Charlotte tonight. They have bigger competition to look to the next two weeks where it counts, conference play.
Kickoff 8pm EDT
GM 139 Rice +17 -110 (Bet365) risking $220 to win $200
Kickoff 9pm EDT
GM 143 Oregon St. +13 -110 (SB) risking $220 to win $200
CFL:
Kickoff 7:30pm EDT
GM 215 Ottawa -2.5 -110 (SB) risking $330 to win $300
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