2016 Total Overall Units +84.70 units
2015 Total Overall Units 481-433 (52.6%) +197.09 Units
DBB (Drock Best Bet) in BOLD
2016 – 108-93-3 (53.7%) +38.56 units
September – 6-9 (40%) -16.04 units
August – 6-7 (46.1%) -8.80 units
July – 8-4 (66.6%) +15.07 units
June – 8-11 (42.1%) +5.54 units
May – 17-11 (60.7%) +16.58 units
April – 16-11-2 (59.2%) +13.17 units
March – 16-13 (55.1%) +11.51 units
February – 17-11 (60.7%) +10.2 units
January – 14-16-1 (46.8%) -12.16 units
2015 DBB– (138-121-4) overall (53.2%) +71.69 units
2014 DBB– (43-35-4) overall (54.5%) +38.23 units
10* GOY (all time) – 5-0-1 (100%) +50 units
2016 CFL:
14-16 (46.6%) +9.64 units
2016 CFB:
8-14 (36.3%) -19.14 units
2016 NFL:
10-4 (71.4%) +16.50 units
Previous NFL & CFB seasons:
NFL:
2013: 60-49 (55.04%) +15.78 units
2014: 61-41 (59.8%) +48.59 units
2015: 44-44 (50%) +16.86 units
CFB:
2013: 61-51 (54.4) +13.55 units
2014: 55-55 (50%) +4.24 units
2015: 64-54 (54.2%) +28.18 units
MLB:
First Pitch 7:05pm EDT
GM 711/712 Red Sox/O’s OVER 8.5 -101 (pinnacle) risking $404 to win $400
This move fits right into my total theory when playing a series finale if the first two/three games of a given series have the same result regarding the total (ie both games went over) go the other way for the series finale (ie under). When the general betting public sees a trend of a series going under or over the total they tend to side that same way on the series finale, which we have here. Public perception is present in this spot as well as the public see David Price on the mound and for the O’s Tillman who has won 16 games and see’s both teams Aces starting so there’s going to be a low amount of runs, BIG MISTAKE. Another big contributing factor here is the umpire for tonight’s matchup who is Mark Wegner. His games he has umpired this season have gone 20-6 to the over, 76.9% with an average of 11.2 runs per game!! What does this tell me? It means pitchers have to throw the ball directly over the plate because pitchers aren’t getting calls on the edge of the plate. With pitchers having to throw it directly across the plate means batters can have their way with knowing it’s coming in their kitchen. More pitches over the plate equal more hits and hopefully more runs and with this number sitting off the key number 9 in a hitters ballpark, I believe this is a good spot to see some runs tonight.
Football games I have moved on so far for this week:
NFL (Sunday)
Kickoff 1pm EDT
GM 466 Bills +5 -110 (SB) risking $220 to win $200
Kickoff 8:30pm EDT
GM 487 Bears +7.5 -110 (SB) risking $220 to win $200
CFL (Saturday)
Kickoff 4pm EDT
GM 495 Blue Bombers +10.5 -120 (Sports Interaction) risking $480 to win $400
GM 497/498 Ticats/Roughriders UNDER 53.5 -106 (pinnacle) risking $848 to win $800 (Best Bet Saturday)
Right here we have an opportunity to take advantage of a line that hasn’t reacted to what the weather is forecasted for this Saturday night in Regina. They are calling for high winds, heavy rainfall and cool temperatures for Saturday. Here’s what Environment Canada has issued for southern parts of Saskatchewan.
“Wicked northwest winds will pick up behind the system and local rainfall amounts between 50-100 mm are possible near the Saskatchewan/American border through Saturday night. Rainfall warnings may be issued for areas which see 50 mm or more within 24 hours or 75 mm or more within 48 hours.”
What matters in football is not rain, its wind. In wind it’s tough to throw accurate passes, kick field goals and play a field position game. Your gameplan is completely changed and you are forced to hand the ball off more often and throw short passes instead of long passes. A 40 yard field goal that is easy when it’s clear and calm is much harder when wind is a factor. On Saturday night wind is forecasted to be blowing at 21mph with gusts up to 40mph.
In the CFL, QB play is crucial to a good offense and with the high winds coming handing the ball off and short passes will change both teams gameplans. WIth only 2 downs to get 10 yards this makes it that much harder to keep moving the chains with both teams defense’s expecting runs. The deep ball will be taken out with high winds and both teams will have to turn to old school football.
With this being the CFL, what was the only football league this summer, the hype has faded with NFL and NCAAF already started. So this opens up a spot to able to take advantage early with this line as the general betting public is infatuated with the NFL and NCAAF this time of year. Grab UNDER 53.5 while you can before Saturday as I expect this line to drop before kickoff Saturday night
CFB: (Saturday)
Kickoff 3:30pm
GM 396 Oregon st. +13.5 -110 (SB) risking $220 to win $200
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