CBB YTD Free Pick record 1-3 (25%) -$230

Tip off 11pm EDT

GM #766 USC -5 -106 (pinnacle) risking $106 to win $100

USC has gotten blown out the last two games only scoring 65 and 64 points compared to giving up 87 and 84 points.  They have lost 3 straight and 5 of the last 6 games and have nothing left to be desired to the general public (1-5 ATS L6 in the process).  The general public wants winning teams and when Team A isn’t winning ATS they look off and think that Team A isn’t backable and not trustworthy.  This equates to a teams stock that is low and I look for opportunities like this to make a move and become a buyer.  USC is 15-1 SU at home this season with their only loss to Utah back on Feb 21st.  They have beaten some quality PAC-12 opposition at home already this season – Arizona, UCLA and Colorado.  Oregon St. took USC behind the woodshed back on Jan 21st winning by 15 at home, but that was USC’s third straight roadie in 11 days and was a bad spot for USC.  Oregon St. is off an incredible performance last time out on their Senior Day Sunday (honored 5 seniors) as SR. Gary Payton JR had a solid game, as every team does on Washington St., wearing his fathers retired jersey.  I see tonight an emotional letdown game for Oregon St. as their best player Payton Jr. put on a performance for his team, fans and his old man last game winning by 20 and now have to travel to USC where the Trojans have been tough at home this season and out for revenge.

So we get a buy low spot on USC, emotional letdown spot for Oregon St. and the revenge factor for USC.  USC wins by 11