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September Football Betting Mistakes & NFL Preseason Money Making Situations

September is just around the corner, the best of months for most of us as FOOTBALL is finally here!!  Most bettors have returned after a summer of relaxing and ready to fire at anything and everything.  They have pockets full of hard earned cash and come in with guns a blazing.  Mistake #1.  Really September football betting should be bet with caution.  Most gamblers rush into September letting their stack ride on one game.  Mistake #2.  Set yourself up a bankroll, doesn't matter what size it is $200, $500 or $2000.  Early on it's easy to get ahead of yourself and have more than what you want on the table at once.  Mistake #3.  Control your unit sizes and don't bet what you can't afford to lose.  Wagering sizes I suggest should be 2-5% of your bankroll not 50%-75% of it.  Long term success will come with having a plan and controlling your unit sizes.  Scared money don't make money is something you have probably heard of before. Mistake #4, I don't believe in this saying, it was probably made up by the sportbooks that want your money.  Smart money makes money is what I believe.  You don't want to put yourself in a hole early on in the football season.  All the hype is here football is getting closer, everyday you see a tweet on twitter with how many days are left to kickoff in NFL and NCAAF, just be smart and don't let all the hype make you make the wrong decisions with your hard earned money. Betting Tip: September betting can be hard sometimes because there are basically no emotional letdowns in the first four weeks.  By October, November and December you [...]

By |August 9th, 2015 5:54pm|Free Picks, NCAAF Picks, NCAAF Strategy, NFL Picks, NFL Strategy|0 Comments

Don’t overreact to the injury report

Everyday you see late scratches from the lineup and the line moves in favor of the team with the player who is not injured.  The betting public notices and they hurry to the counter to try to beat the odds-makers before the line changes.  This is public overreaction that I don't react to until the time is right.   The key to this process is patience, you need to have patience and wait till the time is right to make your move on the line.   This works particularly well in the NFL as the injury report comes out an hour and a half before game time.  The best thing to do is have a number in your mind on the game that you would like to see and if you see it before game time jump on it.  I don't blindly wager every time I see an injury of a player for a team, but if there is a majority of the public overreacting  to an injury you have to think twice about leaning with the public.  The media also plays a big role in pumping up how significant an injury can be to a team and everyone notices that and bets the other way.  Just use contrarian thinking and you will be adding bills to your stack in no time.

By |May 18th, 2014 2:15pm|Betting Philosophy, Betting Strategy, NFL Strategy|0 Comments