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NFC Championship Prop Bets

It's Championship Sunday, so I thought that I'd look at multiple prop bets for these games and let you all know of a couple that I'm on. Lines courtesy of The Greek: Prop Bet #1: Over 4.5 Sacks (-130) $130 to win $100 Rodgers lack of mobility + the Seahawks pass rush could get us there alone, but I do believe that Green Bay's defense is tired of listening to how good Seattle's unit is and will get a couple of sacks on Wilson as well. The first meeting in Week 1 finished with 4 sacks, but with Seattle looking to keep the heat on Rodgers for the full 60 minutes and not let that calf strain loosen up, this bet should hit. Prop Bet #2: Jordy Nelson Over 5.5 pass receptions (-125) $125 to win $100 Nelson was targeted 14 times in the Week 1 game and hauled in nine of those throws. He was shutdown for the most part by Dallas (two catches on five targets) but if Green Bay is going to pull off the upset here Nelson needs to be a big part of this offense. Rodgers has shown in recent weeks that the other receivers like Adams and TE Rodgers can be called upon when necessary, so Seattle won't load up on Nelson like other opponents have. Nelson's ability to catch those short routes to keep drives alive here and Green Bay likely trailing for the majority of the game will help put this one 'over.' Prop Bet #3: Total points scored by K Steven Hauschka Over 8 (-105) $105 to win $100 Obviously the easiest way to get here would be three FG's by the Seattle kicker, but as [...]

By |January 18th, 2015 8:39am|Free Picks, NFL Picks|0 Comments

How I’m Attacking Conference Championship Weekend

Championship Weekend in the NFL is always a great Sunday of action as we've got familiar teams battling out with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line. Players can make names for themselves during this game and subsequently get two weeks to talk about it after they win, but with two Conference Championship games this year that are rematches from the regular season there is plenty to talk about this week: Lines; Green Bay (+7.5) vs. Seattle (-7.5); Total set at 46.5 Indianapolis (+6.5) vs. New England (-6.5); Total set at 53.5 As most of you may know, I've always been a totals guy to the core and that won't change this weekend. I like both of these numbers where they sit right now and have made premium plays on both of them. As far as the sides go, both underdogs are the ones with revenge here after the Packers and Colts lost by double digits earlier this year to their respective opponents and I would not be shocked to see at least one of them win outright. However, to me this weekend has all the feel of Seattle and New England moving on so we can get two weeks of talk about how Seattle will be the "greatest defense ever" if they take down Manning and Brady in consecutive Super Bowls. Talking heads in the media love their storylines and there isn't one much bigger than that in my opinion. If I had to make wagers on these spreads, I'd lay the chalk with Seattle even at 7.5 because I think they blitz Rodgers and his sore calf early and often to not let him get it loose and come back strong in [...]

By |January 16th, 2015 6:07pm|Betting Strategy, Free Picks, NFL Picks|0 Comments

Saturday FREE PLAY Bet Card

My FREE play record is below, as always, by sport, TOP FREE play and star rating 1* = $100  TOP FREE PLAY 2015 –  1-2 (33.3%) (-$110) TOP FREE PLAY 2014 – 88-83-3 (51.4%) (+$1782) FAN FAV 3-2 (60%) ($+293) NCAAF YTD 23-20 (53.4%) (+$345) NFL YTD 16-21 (43.2%) (-$1594) NHL YTD 29-34-1 (46%) (-$1414) NBA YTD 17-15 (53.1%) (+$213) CBB YTD 10-17-2 (37%) (-$823)   2015 YEAR-TO-DATE * - 1* 2-4 (33.3%)   2014 YEAR-TO-DATE * - 1* 32-36-2 (47%) 2* 63-65-3 (49.2%) 3* 104-112-3 (47.5%) 4* 45-40-3 (52.9%) 5* 3-1 (75%) All lines courtesy Pinnacle Sports all plays are to "risk" TOP FREE play in BOLD NFL: Seahawks -11 -105 (1*) - Carolina is pure garbage.  They do not deserve to be in the playoffs and wouldn’t be if they were geographically in another location.  11 points is a lot to lay in a playoff game and underdogs have statistically done well in the divisional round against the #1 & #2 seeds, but I see the points in this specific match-up not affecting the outcome at all.  The Panthers were lucky to win the game last week against the Cardinals as they gave the Cards many chances to win that game.  The Panthers had only three road wins this year and none of them came against a team with a winning record.  The Panthers are a weak football team and today will suit up as many as eight rookies on the field in one of the most hostile places to play in football.  I look for the Seahawks to be given excellent field position all day long from their strong defensive unit forcing three and outs with excellent starting field position for the [...]

By |January 10th, 2015 11:15am|Free Picks, NFL Picks|0 Comments

Sunday FREE PLAY Bet Card

My 5 day FREE premium cards are over and now back to my daily free plays for you.  If you liked what I offer and would like to continue receiving my Premium cards I'm offering a FREE week trial and would love having you join the winning side.  Just click the link here for quick sign up. My FREE play record is below, as always, by sport, TOP FREE play and star rating 1* = $100  TOP FREE PLAY – 88-81-3 (52%) (+$2282) FAN FAV 3-2 (60%) ($+293) NCAAF YTD 23-20 (53.4%) (+$345) NFL YTD 16-17 (48.4%) (-$494) NHL YTD 28-34-1 (44.2%) (-$1599) NBA YTD 15-13 (53.5%) (+$226) CBB YTD 9-14-2 (39.1%) (-$613) WJH TOURNAMENT RECORD 1-1 (50%) (-$27) YEAR-TO-DATE * - 1* 31-33-2 (48.4%) 2* 63-65-3 (49.2%) 3* 104-112-3 (47.5%) 4* 45-40-3 (52.9%) 5* 3-1 (75%) All lines courtesy Pinnacle Sports all plays are to "risk" TOP FREE play in BOLD NFL: Redskins +6 -105 (4*) Redskins ml +221 (2*) San Diego +3 -109 (3*) San Diego ml +136 (2*) NBA: Raptors -2 -106 (1*)    

By |December 28th, 2014 12:32pm|Free Picks, NBA Picks, NFL Picks|0 Comments

Week 16 MNF Premium Card

Christmas is only a few days away, so since it's the giving season and you readers have been great and loyal sticking through are site issues the past week, I am posting my premium analysis for tonight's MNF game between the Broncos and Bengals up here on the site. So I wish you all a happy holiday season and let's look to make it a little more joyful with a win on this play tonight: Line: Denver (-3.5) vs. Cincinnati (+3.5); Total set at 47 - courtesy of Pinnacle Sports Now, all of you know that the Bengals are my team, but I'd like to think that I've been relatively fair and honest regarding my plays on their games this year, fading at times and playing on at times. A win for Cincinnati gets them in the playoffs with the division title still up for grabs next week, but beating Denver won't be easy. A loss this week and next could have the Bengals missing the playoffs entirely, so there is a great sense of urgency here for Cincinnati. Cincy's struggles in Prime time games have been well noted in the Marvin Lewis era, but quite frankly that's my only minor concern here. We've got the Broncos coming off clinching the division last week and I have mentioned in past plays that fading division winners in their next game across all sports is something I like to do. Quite frankly I was kicking myself for not mentioning that with Sunday's plays as the Patriots and Colts were both in that spot, and I really loved the Cowboys and we hit with that play. But the Patriots failed to cover as well and now it's the Broncos turn [...]

By |December 22nd, 2014 1:43am|Free Picks, NFL Picks|0 Comments