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Saturday September 27 Betting Action

Tough 1-2 night with my premiums, but our double header flip flopped theory worked out well as the Marlins won a shootout; cashing both of my free plays. I've already sent out a full premium card to clients for today's college football betting action, but I do still have two plays that just missed becoming premiums. So let's get right to today's college football free picks. All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts 'to win' on favorites and flat on underdogs Play of the Day in Bold Free Play Records MLB Pre All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691) MLB post All Star Break: 47-43 (+$2817) CFL YTD: 6-8 (-$266) NCAAF YTD: 8-7 ATS (+$17)  NFL YTD: 4-7 ATS (-$872) College Football Free Betting Picks Kansas +12 (-109) $218 to win $200 Syracuse +9 (-106) $212 to win $200 I'm grouping these two plays together as they've got a few things in common. For one, they are both home dogs that have seen the line move in their favor despite the majority of action going against them (reverse line movement), and both are up against big name, high profile schools that many recreational bettors have no problem backing week in and week out. Secondly, both teams could easily be looking past their games this week as the Irish have a big home game with Stanford on deck, while Texas will be looking to knock off one of the top Big 12 teams in Baylor. When you see big time, talented programs right in front of you like that, it's tough to give your full attention to the Kansas' and Syracuse's of the world and I believe that's part of teh reason why we've seen these lines move [...]

By |September 27th, 2014 5:08am|Free Picks, NCAAF Picks|0 Comments

Saturday FREE PLAY CFB Bet Card

Won my FREE play last night and look to put together some FREE play wins for you this weekend with my card and it starts with a full slate of college games Saturday. If you love betting football stick with me the rest of the season I will give you winners every 5 day weekend all season long. Full write-ups with every Premium play It's EASY SIGN UP HERE and start cashing tickets today!! BEST PRICE AROUND ALL DOCUMENTED by the best www.handicapperswatchdog.com FREE 7 DAYS My FREE play record is below, as always, by sport, TOP FREE play and star rating 1* = $100  TOP FREE PLAY – 57-48-3 (54.2%) (+$3115) NCAAF YTD 4-4 (50%) (+$44) NFL YTD 3-3 (50%) (-$260) PARLAY’S YTD (1*) – 2-9 (18%) (-$316) YEAR-TO-DATE * - 2* 39-36-2 (52%) 3* 79-90-3 (46.7%) 4* 42-39-3 (51.8%) 5* 3-1 (75%) All lines courtesy Pinnacle Sports Michigan -13 -108 (3*) - Michigan was awful last time out only producing 3pts on offense and I expect a different team Saturday.  Michigan is 8-4 ATS after a loss under HC Hoke.  Michigan is 6-0 SU and ATS last 6 match ups in this series Buffalo -6.5 -106 (2*) - Miami Ohio is on a 20 game losing streak and after playing 2 hard fought battles against good teams (Michigan, Cincy) I feel this could be a little bit of a letdown for them.  Maimi Ohio 4-11 as a road dog since 2012 and playing there 3rd straight away witch is tough on any team.  Buffalo is 5-2-1 ATS last 8 vs Miami Ohio and 3-1-1 ATS last 5 at home vs Miami Ohio. Wyoming +28.5 -112 (2*) - Wyoming I can see keeping the [...]

By |September 26th, 2014 10:55pm|Free Picks, NCAAF Picks|0 Comments

Thursday FREE PLAY CFB Bet Card

We got another all FOOTBALL WEEKEND upcoming.  I have been going through every line and every angle of every game on the board this week of look to continue to dominate the books again. Coming off a 9-6 (60%) Premium weekend of football last weekend and a 8-4 (66.6%) Premium weekend before that.   I look for my third straight winning weekend of football!!! If you love betting football stick with me the rest of the season I will give you winners every 5 day weekend all season long. It's EASY SIGN UP HERE and start cashing tickets today!! BEST PRICE AROUND ALL DOCUMENTED by the best www.handicapperswatchdog.com FREE 7 DAYS My FREE play record is below, as always, by sport, TOP FREE play and star rating 1* = $100  TOP FREE PLAY – 56-48-3 (53.8%) (+$2833) NCAAF YTD 3-4 (42.8%) (-$228) NFL YTD 3-3 (50%) (-$260) PARLAY’S YTD (1*) – 2-9 (18%) (-$316) YEAR-TO-DATE * - 2* 39-36-2 (52%) 3* 78-90-3 (46.4%) 4* 42-39-3 (51.8%) 5* 3-1 (75%) All lines courtesy Pinnacle Sports All lines are "to risk" TOP FREE play in bold Georgia Southern/Appalachian St. UNDER 62.5 -106 (3*) - This game tonight is between Sun Belt rivals.  ASU have played well on the defensive side of things.  They have allowed 24.3 ppg and 328 ypg and have 6 INT's.  Georgia Southern runs the triple option offense and has been firing on all cylinders, but I see a bump in the road for them tonight as ASU does have experience stopping this system, hence winning the last 3 meetings.  The Eagles on D are allowing 400 ypg but holding opponents to an average of 20.3 ppg.  Tonight should be a hard fought battle [...]

By |September 25th, 2014 6:25pm|Free Picks, NCAAF Picks|0 Comments

Thursday September 25th Betting Action

Couldn't manage to cash with yesterday's free play on the 'over' in the Astros/Rangers game as this week as been a grind, but there are four football games on tap tonight and that's where my focus has shifted too. So without further ado, lets get to tonight's NFL free picks and college football free pick. All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts 'to win' on favorites and flat on underdogs Play of the Day in Bold Free Play Records MLB Pre All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691) MLB post All Star Break: 45-43 (+$2359) CFL YTD: 6-8 (-$266) NCAAF YTD: 8-6 ATS (+$229)  NFL YTD: 4-6 ATS (-$557) NFL free pick NYG/Washington Under 45 (-105) $315 to win $300 After losing the 'under' on the last NFL prime time game (Bears/Jets), I'm going back to the well with that train of thought tonight to take another low-side of a total. So far this total has been moving back and forth throughout the week as 75%+ of bets have come in on the high side. That's not too surprising given that the Giants and Redskins put up 30+ points last week and casual bettors generally subscribe to the "what have you done for me lately" idea.  However, this total has been on it's way down all morning and that move has confirmed by week-long suspicion that it would. It's a short week for both teams which is typically good news for 'under' bettors, and the Giants are 1-5 O/U the last six times they've been on TNF. New York is also 3-12 O/U after covering the spread in their last game and has a 5-14 O/U run going in their last 19 on the road. Five of [...]

By |September 25th, 2014 3:25pm|Free Picks, NCAAF Picks, NFL Picks|0 Comments

College Football Week 5 Early Thoughts

As I did with my NFL early thoughts piece, I thought I'd give you some of my early thoughts for this week's college football action as well. To start, this is going to be a week where we might see a decrease in action from the casual bettor as numerous ranked teams are off this week. The list is quite extensive as all of these teams I'm about to list are undefeated SU this year and taking this week off to recover: Georgia Tech, Oklahoma, Marshall, BYU, Oregon, Arizona, Alabama and Mississippi State. A lot of those teams have big games on deck, including Oregon and Arizona playing one another, so look for action and the lines to move early and often this time next week. As far as this week's games go, there are still a few big games between some very good teams and to no one's surprise one of those is the Florida State/NC State game.  Florida State opened up as 23-point favorites but have since been bet down to -19 after they squeaked out an OT win on national television last week. However, unless I find some more conflicting info in the coming days, I don't agree with this move at all. Barring another stupid decision from Jameis Winston to keep him off the field, I expect the Seminoles to show up in full force this week and put a beating on this Wolfpack team. If this spread continues to drop, don't be surprised to see me have a write up on the Seminoles later this week. Other early leans I have this week as lines are starting to shift around are Stanford -7.5, Miami -7, and Oregon State +9 Miami [...]

By |September 23rd, 2014 7:40pm|Free Picks, NCAAF Picks|0 Comments