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Analyzing Line Movement: Important Tool for Finding Winners

When you begin you sports betting career you should think of the handicapping process (breaking down games/lines) a job you need to have the right "tools" for. One of the most important tools to have is learning how to successfully watch the lines (odds) move throughout the day and up until game time. You can get the answer (correct wager) by doing this and cross-referencing it with applicable trends and situations to get you to confirm a bet on a given team. Many come into their sports betting careers with the misconception that they have been following teams/leagues forever, watching Sportscenter, and knowing tho to pick as the winner. But the popular media outlets (ESPN, Fox Sports, TSN -for you Canadians) portray their message with generic narratives and common, often unusable tidbits of information. It's not that helpful for me to tell you Washington has won seven of their last eight games in New York when those eight games took place over 3-4 years with different team dynamics each season. If that stat is incorporated into your handicapping process as a whole when breaking down the game it can be used as evidence as to why to bet Washington that night but it shouldn't be the only reason you decide to make that wager. Like a lawyer trying to prove their case, you need to gather as much evidence as you can as to why Team X is the one you'll be betting on tonight. A good place to start is by using Sportsbook Review's betting odds side - found here. It tracks the odds all day across numerous sportsbooks for every game that day and you can click on a given game and see [...]

Betting Strategies to Win Money Betting NBA Postseason

These are all great starting points when breaking down the daily NBA board and shouldn't only be used to make a bet, but ignoring these things can be deadly to your bankroll. 1: Zig-Zag Theory I talked about this briefly in my NHL Playoffs Strategy piece, but truth be told it work much better in the NBA. Basketball is a more fluid game than hockey in terms of points being scored and runs being made, so it's easier to get on a team that lost previously and expect them to bounce back. Home court advantage also tends to work better in the NBA playoffs so if you've got a home team desperate for a win and fits this theory (ie after a loss) it's a good time to get on them. There were three specific spots in Round 1 where I thought the zig-zag + home court desperation applied and you would have went 2-1 SU and ATS. Those games were Chicago (Game 5), Houston (Game 5) and Golden State (Game 6). 2: Beware of the 20+ point blowout - Take Teams ATS after losing by 20+ Playoffs are unique in that you really get a handle on what works against an opponent because you play them every time out there. But sometimes in this game, there will be a time when one team just owns the other on a given night and blows them out of the water. Once the losing team starts to see this game has gotten out of hand it's time to rest their guys and begin gearing up for the next game to try and get that win back. The amount of anger and motivation that losing team has in [...]

By |May 5th, 2014 4:37pm|Betting Strategy, NBA Strategy|0 Comments