NFL YTD 5-7 (41.6%) -$270 GM #451 Redskins +7.5 -115 (SB) risking $115 to win $100 The Panthers are the definition of a team winning ugly.  I have lost a few times trying to fade this team this season so far, but now we have Carolina spotting over a TD to cover to win and in this spot I believe we are getting an inflated number.  Looking back at their games the Panthers have been involved in 5 one score games this season and now they have to win by more than a TD, no way!!  Only once have the Panthers out gained an opponent by 51 yards this season.  The Panthers have been a solid 7-2 against the spread this year, but covering a big number is foreign to them, having spotted more than five points just twice this season and failing to cover both times in a pair of close wins.  This is a tough spot for the Panthers as next Thursday they head to Dallas for a huge nationally televised game on Thanksgiving Day.  It’s easy to overlook the Redskins here and focus more on the Cowboys on Thanksgiving as the Panthers have been receiving a lot of attention this week as one of the last two remaining undefeated teams.   If you have been a backer of the Panthers they have been good to you, but now you get an inflated number and you will have to pay for it.  This is the spots I look for and I want to attack, Redskins plus the points. Good luck to all today and enjoy the games!!   Derek