­

Saturday CFB FREE PICK

CFB Free Plays YTD 4-6 (40%) -$223 Kickoff 7:45pm EDT GM #323 USC +4.5 -110 (Bovada) risking $110 to win $100 Few factors I like here are:  Standford coming off a big emotional win over Notre Dame last week on Senior Night and we saw the fans storm the field after the game = letdown 2.  USC lost to Standford week 3 - revenge 3. Trojan coach Clay Helton this week received the news he has been hoping for, with the “interim” tag removed from his title and then being signed to a five-year contract as head coach at USC.   Gives the new HC for USC some confidence. Good luck to all and enjoy Championship Saturday

By |December 4th, 2015 5:31pm|Free Picks, NCAAF Picks|0 Comments

2015 Grey Cup FREE PICK w/write-up

GM #292 Edmonton Eskimos -7 -103 (pinnacle) risking $103 to win $100 Game played at Investors Group Field Winnipeg, Manitoba The Ottawa RedBlacks have been the "Cinderella" team in the CFL this season and made it here on a miracle throw for a TD in the final minutes last week against Hamilton to win and cover the 6.5 points.  At the season's beginning the Ottawa team had a season win total at 4 after a 2-16 season a year ago and have gone on to a 13 win team after last weeks victory.  It has been quite the year for the Redblacks franchise and their players, QB Henry Buris won the league's most outstanding player and WR Brad Sinopoli won the CFL's top Canadian player at a gala prior to the Grey Cup this week.  Just like my theory of fading the Heisman Trophy winner of the team in the CFB bowl game, the same applies here to fade the MVP in the Grey Cup.  The Public loves a "Cinderella" team and will look to "play on" a team in the big game especially now with the MVP being on that Redblacks "Cinderella" team. Yes it would be the perfect end to a great story should the RedBlacks pull this one out but I'm not counting on it.  Ottawa benefited this season playing easy competition especially their last 10 weeks of the season and caught most of these teams when the opposing teams had the injury bug (Toronto twice, Hamilton 3 times (T-Cats QB Zach Collaros was out), Winnipeg twice, Al's, Rough Riders and B.C.).  Ottawa in turn put up some big numbers against these teams that were hurting. Edmonton has gone 8-0 since the [...]

By |November 29th, 2015 11:05am|Free Picks, NFL Picks|0 Comments

NFL Sunday Week 12 Free Pick

NFL YTD 6-8 (38.4%) -$285 GM #264 Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 +100 (pinnacle) risking $100 to win $100 Situational play here:  Bills off a short week Bills third straight road game Bills played three straight divisional opponents KC coming in hot winning and covering their last four games and winning those games by an average of 22.7 points.  KC has been tough to score against over their past six games only giving up an average of 12.1 points/game.  Chiefs win 24-13.   GL to everyone on Sunday, Derek

By |November 28th, 2015 10:16pm|Free Picks, NFL Picks|0 Comments

Saturday CFB Free Pick

CFB Free Plays YTD 4-5 (44.4%) -$119 GM #146 Michigan +1 -104 (pinnacle) risking $104 to win $100 Like how Ohio st is coming off their first loss in over a year (Week 2 2014 vs. VTech) and have to go on the road and play in the "BIG HOUSE" one of the most hostile college football home field environments to play in.  Ohio st's playoff hopes were pretty much faded last week in their loss and will be hard to overcome that mentally for the players.   I see Ohio st. having trouble running the ball against this stout Michigan front 7 (has given up just 71 ypg rushing at home this season).  Even the pass D for Michigan has been solid with only allowing 2.3 ypc at home this season.  Ohio st. RB Elliot criticized the playcalling after getting only 12 carries (33 YR) in the 17-14 loss last week.  This is not going to get any easier this week and could lead to a frustrated Ohio st offense again.  Michigan has not only been doing it on defense, but their offense has seen some spark over a 3 game winning streak recently.  QB Jake Rudock 70% completions, 344 ypg passing with 10 TD passes his last 3 during Michigan's win streak.  The public will be quick to back the defending champs at this low number, but don't be mistaken for this line.  The oddsmakers don't make errors with their numbers and I won't be taking the bait.  Michigan wins this SU 27-24  

By |November 27th, 2015 10:12pm|Free Picks, NCAAF Picks|0 Comments

NFL Thanksgiving Thursday FREE Pick

NFL YTD 5-8 (38.4%) -$385 GM #106 Lions -2 -108 (pinnacle) risking $108 to win $100 Lions defense has come together with wins over the Packers and Raiders averaging only 14.5ppg against in those wins.  Simply do not trust Eagles QB Sanchez tossing another 3 picks on Sunday against the Bucs to make it 15 INT in 11 games with the Eagles.  After getting a beat-down on Sunday by the hands of the Bucs it's tough to make the necessary adjustments to fix the problems for the Eagles on a short week.  With all the rumors of the Chip Kelly era coming to an end ringing in the Eagles ears, this can cause for a distraction for a short week road tilt.  Detroit statistically doesn't match well with the Eagles, but the Eagles are a hot mess right now and Detroit has a couple nice wins in a row after their bye week, Detroit wins by 4 24-20. Good Luck to all and Happy Thanksgiving to all my friends south of the boarder!! Derek

By |November 25th, 2015 8:50pm|Free Picks, NFL Picks|0 Comments