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Saturday Bet Card

1-3 last night, but cashed my TOP play which saved me a bit from losing more.  Went out last night and took two huge underdogs in baseball and both teams got blown out.  I can't stress enough that taking OVER -140 favorites all the time will make you money in the long run.  And I can't stand guys who go on about a "3-0 sweep last night" but all plays are -170 favorites.  Right now I carry a 50% winning % in baseball, but I'm up still $953.  Finding that underdog every night to win is tough, but I will always tend to lean against the public rather than side with them.  I don't take an underdog just because they are an underdog I do my research every day watch line movement then pull the trigger.  That's all I have to say so let's get to today's plays.  As always is my updated record by sport, TOP play and star rating. 1* = $100  TOP FREE PLAY – 36-24-2 (60%) (+$4552) MLB YTD 69-69-4 (50%) (+$953) NFL YTD 1-0 (100%) (+$310) PARLAY’S YTD (1*) – 1-2 (33.3%) (+$120) YEAR-TO-DATE * - 2* 25-21-1 (54.3%) 3* 51-55-1 (48.1%) 4* 31-28-3 (52.5%) 5* 3-1 (75%) All lines courtesy Pinnacle Sports TOP play in bold Brewers/Reds OVER 8 +110 (4*) - Huge favorable OVER ump 10-2 and average road score 7.5 and home 5.5 which is a lot of runs.  GO with the OVER today. Stl/Miami UNDER 7.5 -105 (3*) - UNDER Ump alert 4-14 to the under here and with two solid pitchers on the mound I'm putting my $money$ on the UNDER.  Reverse line movement here too. Brewers ml +122 (3*) - This ump has favored [...]

By |July 5th, 2014 1:21pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments

Friday Bet Card

Haven't had a card out for 2 nights, but I can't force out my plays if the card doesn't fit my system plays.  Sometimes a no play is a winning play.  Let's get to the card for tonight.  As always is my updated record by sport, TOP play and star rating. 1* = $100  TOP FREE PLAY – 35-24-2 (59.3%) (+$4164) MLB YTD 68-66-4 (51.5%) (+$1565) NFL YTD 1-0 (100%) (+$310) PARLAY’S YTD (1*) – 1-2 (33.3%) (+$120) YEAR-TO-DATE * - 2* 25-21-1 (54.3%) 3* 51-53-1 (49%) 4* 30-27-3 (52.6%) 5* 3-1 (75%) All lines courtesy Pinnacle Sports TOP play in bold Rockies ml +183 (3*) - We all know how Kershaw has dominated JUNE, but this is JULY everyone and it's a new month.  The Rockies are out for revenge here after he no-hit them two weeks ago.  ROCKIES ml is the play Seattle ml +150 (3*) - Baseball is about streaks and Seattle is on one of a hell of a road run right now 6 wins on the road and look for 7 tonight.  Once again Sale has been nothing but stellar in JUNE, but it's JULY and a new month.  Take Seattle tonight. Indians ml -107 (4*) Houston/Angels OVER 8 -103 (4*)

By |July 4th, 2014 5:15pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments

Friday July 4th Betting Action

It was a nice 2-0 sweep with my plays last night and as I hit my first play of the day in what feels like forever. I've managed to stay afloat with my other plays winning, but it was nice to get a perfect day in my pocket again last night. It's a much larger card today for this Friday, one I would like to wish my friends down south a very happy (and safe) 4th of July. I'm hoping to make your holiday weekend a little better with winners every day, starting with these plays tonight. All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts "to win" on favorites and flat on underdogs Play of the Day in Bold MLB YTD: 86-88-10 (+$1167) MLB plays Miami ML (+136) $200 to win $272 Fading the Cardinals in their first game back at home after a long west coast road trip that saw them go 5-5 SU. But after two straight series against potential playoff opponents from L.A and San Fran, and two divisional series against the Pirates and Brewers up next, this is the definition of a sandwich spot for the Cards. LAD/Colorado Over 9 (-118) $354 to win $300 Kershaw no-hit the Rockies the last time he faced them yet we have a total of 9 tonight. Yes, I know playing in Colorado will add a run or 1.5 runs to the total compared to Dodgers stadium, but this is a total that everyone sees as way too high with Kershaw on the hill. Add in the no-hitter last time he faced this lineup and it's no wonder bettors are flocking to the low-side of this total. But when something seems too good to be [...]

By |July 4th, 2014 5:14pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments

Thursday July 3rd Betting Action

It was a shame my two underdogs (Texas and Colorado) couldn't hold on to early leads last night as if even one of them could have won it would have been a very good day. Instead it was a 2-2 night with those two dogs losing and my two totals coming in rather easily. Didn't win or lose a sent with my plays last night and with another small board tonight it's time to get right down to it. All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts "to win" on favorites and flat on underdogs Play of the Day in Bold MLB YTD: 83-88-10 (+$549) MLB plays Arizona/Pittsburgh Over 7.5 (+100) $300 to win $300 This play fits the same line of thought I had with my two totals last night. The first two games of this series between the Diamondbacks and Pirates have both stayed under the total and it's time to flip the script. Arizona starter Brandon McCarthy has been giving up runs by the handful all year and Vance Worley only just returned to the majors because he was down fixing some mechanical issues. It's only a matter of time before he has one of those blowup games we were used to seeing from him when he was on Philadelphia and Minnesota. NYY/Minnesota Over 7 (+106) $300 to win $318 A Tanaka/Hughes start is no doubt going to get a lot of attention on the low-side of the total so it's no surprise to see over 90% of the bettors already getting down on this 'under.' However, although the juice has moved, odds makers have not shifted this number off the key number of 7 and I think that Hughes being [...]

By |July 3rd, 2014 3:48pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments

Wednesday July 2nd Betting Action

Another losing day yesterday as my plays went 1-2 and yet another top play went down. It's been a horrible run with my top selections but thankfully they aren't doing too much damage to my bankroll with the other plays coming through. It's a short card tonight with a lot of games already going off this afternoon, but I have found a handful of strong plays out there for you. All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts "to win" on favorites and flat on underdogs Play of the Day in Bold MLB YTD: 81-86-10 (+$549) MLB plays Texas ML (+123) $300 to win $369 Significant reverse line movement on the Rangers as they try to save face in this series after losing the first two. They are sending a rookie Miles Mikolas to the hill tonight for his first career MLB start after making select appearances from the bullpen for San Diego the last few years. It will be the first time anyone on the Orioles have ever faced Mikolas and as I've said before the pitcher always has a distinct advantage in these situations. Colorado ML (+170) $200 to win $340 Another game with some significant line movement going the Rockies way as they try to avoid losing three in a row to the Nats as big underdogs. When I see movement like this on big underdogs I almost always have no problem jumping on for a unit or two because baseball is a game where even the best teams lose 40% of the time and the math just pays off when you can hit a few of these +170 dogs. Colorado starter Tyler Matzek is the only guy in the Rockies [...]

By |July 2nd, 2014 4:57pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments