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Wednesday Bet Card

Pulled away last night in the positives going 2-1, but losing my TOP play which stings, but when you put +$600 to your MLB bankroll, it's not so bad.  Still though, my TOP play is my go-to and should make your card night in and night out.  With the afternoon games already in completion it limits some action on tonight, but have found some gems never the less.  Here's tonight's card with my updated record by sport, TOP play and star rating. 1* = $100  TOP FREE PLAY – 38-26-2 (59.3%) (+$4428) MLB YTD 76-77-4 (49.6%) (+$758) NFL YTD 1-0 (100%) (+$310) PARLAY’S YTD (1*) – 1-2 (33.3%) (+$120) YEAR-TO-DATE * - 2* 25-21-1 (54.3%) 3* 53-58-1 (47.7%) 4* 36-33-3 (52.1%) 5* 3-1 (75%) All lines courtesy Pinnacle Sports TOP play in bold Royals ml +115 (4*) - Ventura's last 6 road starts he's 4-1 with a 2.32 ERA and fired 6 scoreless innings against the Rays earlier this year.  Cobb has faced the Royals four times and is 1-2 with a 5.04 against them. Texas/Houston UNDER 8 -113 (4*) - Darvish's has been lights out last three starts vs. the Astro's and Texas needs this guy pitching to give them some confidence here to pick up a win.  Looking for Texas here to grind out a win in a low scoring affair. Twins/Seattle OVER 7.5 +111 (4*) - 2 UNDERS in this series = OVER plus an OVER favored ump 9-7 (56.3%)

By |July 9th, 2014 6:27pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments

Wednesday July 9th Betting Action – Evening

I've got some afternoon action going here, but there are also a couple of night games I really like. Just like the plays today, it's mainly totals that have got my attention, so lets get right to the plays. As always, all lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts "to win" on favorites and flat on underdogs Play of the Day in Bold MLB YTD: 92-96-12 (+$791) pending MLB plays KC/Tampa Bay Over 7 (+119) $300 to win $357 This play fits with my thinking today regarding totals flip-flopping. The two games so far have gone 0-1-1 O/U in this series with each team getting a W. Tonight, Yordano Ventura squares off against Alex Cobb and neither one of them has been great of late. Ventura has given up 19 hits in 19.1 innings of work over his last three starts and 3 runs/game have come across the plate because of it. That's not exactly a high conversion rate for opponents against Ventura, but with the Rays playing some good baseball right now (won eight of 10), I'm expecting Tampa to cash in on their chances tonight. What really makes this play a nice fit though is the fact that Laz Diaz is behind the plate. Diaz has seen an average of 8.9 runs per game this year and that's good enough for a 12-4-2 O/U record this year. When you've got an umpire with a tight strikezone, a low total with + money odds and two teams that have yet to go over, it's the perfect storm for betting this play. Atlanta/NYM Over 7 (+100) $200 to win $200 We've got another "over" umpire in this game tonight as Sean Barber is behind [...]

By |July 9th, 2014 4:29pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments

Wednesday July 9th Betting Action – Afternoon Action

It was a strong 3-1-1 night for my plays on Tuesday, but I'm not resting on my laurels after one decent day. There are three afternoon games starting between 3 and 4 PM EST today and there are a few plays in those games that I believe you should have on your card. There will be a couple other plays tonight, but I thought that I'd get out an early piece for those of you looking for some afternoon action. All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts "to win" on favorites and flat on underdogs Play of the Day in Bold MLB YTD: 92-96-12 (+$791) MLB Plays San Diego/Colorado Over 11.5 (+113) $200 to win $226 Toronto/LAA Over 8 (+104) $200 to win $208 I'm grouping these two games together as both fit our betting strategy of taking the opposite total after the first two games of the series have had the same result. It conflicts with the afternoon getaway day theory, but with my buddy C.J Wilson on the hill in L.A and a home plate umpire that has a 60% rate cashing 'over' tickets this year I've got no problem backing that play. 70% of the action is coming in on the low side of this total and with the Jays bats starting to come alive last night, I'm confident they'll do their part in producing runs. Colorado is another game that has 70%+ of bettors backing the low side of this total after two straight unders and a weak hitting Padres team. But Jair Jurrjens was absolutely lit up in his first start of the year last time out and I doubt he finds his best stuff a few days later. [...]

By |July 9th, 2014 2:07pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments

Tuesday Bet Card

Not a great night for me 1-2 and not profitable, but we move on to tonight and ready to build my bankroll back one play at a time.  TOP play is the go-to play for me and @ATSskinner and should be on everyone's card.  Let's get to tonight's card.  As always my updated record by sport, TOP play and star rating. 1* = $100  TOP FREE PLAY – 38-25-2 (60.3%) (+$4828) MLB YTD 74-76-4 (49.3%) (+$158) NFL YTD 1-0 (100%) (+$310) PARLAY’S YTD (1*) – 1-2 (33.3%) (+$120) YEAR-TO-DATE * - 2* 25-21-1 (54.3%) 3* 53-58-1 (47.7%) 4* 34-32-3 (51.5%) 5* 3-1 (75%) All lines courtesy Pinnacle Sports TOP play in bold White Sox ml +154 (4*) - Sox are 1-6 on a 10 game home stand and have been shut out 3 times in its last 10. Can not back the Red Sox here White Sox get it done. Jays/Angels OVER 8 -110 (4*) - Skaggs is on the hill at home tonight which means it's an OVER play for me.  He owns a 5.80 ERA at home this season and the Jays bats need to keep pace in the East. Cubs/Reds OVER 8 -104 (4*) - This is the flip flop double header theory    

By |July 8th, 2014 6:43pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments

Tuesday July 8th Betting Action

This week started off much better than last week ended as my plays went 2-1 last night for a +339 day. The only loss was with the Pirates who had numerous innings with runners on 1st and 3rd with one out or less and they just couldn't manage to plate anyone. That was all the opening the Cardinals would need as they walked off with a two-run HR in the 9th. No need to rehash what could have been though as the Mets came through for me in extra innings to cash my top play. It's on to today's card and it's a big one: All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts "to win" on favorites and flat on underdogs. Play of the Day in Bold MLB YTD: 89-95-11 (+$209) MLB plays Cleveland ML (+136) $200 to win $272 Cleveland's in tough against Tanaka and the Yankees tonight, but I'm not one who's hesitant to fade 'aces' when the price is right and tonight the price is right on the Indians. The perception about Tanaka is that he's unbeatable and that's why we see about 90% of the bettors already backing him and the Yanks tonight. But New York is actually 1-2 SU in his last three starts overall as he's come back down to earth a bit with a 3.52 ERA in those starts, seeing 4.7 runs/game being scored against  him. Cleveland is 5-1 SU in their last six as a home underdog and I like Bauer's chances to match Tanaka pitch for pitch. Give me the +136 odds on Cleveland. Texas ML (-145) $290 to win $200 The Rangers were blasted by the Astros last night, but they should be the [...]

By |July 8th, 2014 5:33pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments