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Saturday July 12th Betting Action

A solid 3-1 night for me on Friday, although my first foray into CFL betting this year didn't go as planned. It's the final weekend of action in MLB before the All-Star break and that means you won't see me on too many 'overs' the rest of the weekend. After a long grinding season so far, guys are already looking ahead to this brief vacation with their families. That means patience at the plate tends to go out the window. Finally, it's the 3rd place game in the World Cup today and although I won't include a pick on the game in this article, you just have to read this piece  to know what I'm on for that contest. All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts "to win" on favorites and flat on underdogs Play of the Day in Bold MLB YTD: 98-102-13 (+$1126) CFL YTD: 0-1 (-200) MLB Plays Chicago/Cleveland Under 8.5 (+110) $200 to win $220 This is the first game off the board today after the Indians won 7-4 as heavy favorites last night. Cleveland recalled Zach McAllister from the minors to make this start and they are hoping his time down there helped him fix some mechanical issues and regain his confidence. McAllister is looking to reward management's decision to bring him back with a strong performance today and against the free-swinging White Sox he's got a great opportunity to do so. Chicago starter Scott Carroll was great in his last start, shutting out the Red Sox through 6.2 innings of work in an eventual 4-0 win. Carroll has been up and down all year, but he's got a much better ERA during the day (1.62) and his numbers are [...]

By |July 12th, 2014 1:08pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments

Saturday Bet Card

A 1-3 night, not great, cashed my TOP play and we move on to today.  Still in the positives after yesterday and going to stay positive as I move forward with today's card.  Let's get right to it. 1* = $100  TOP FREE PLAY – 40-26-2 (60.6%) (+$5376) MLB YTD 79-82-4 (49%) (+$666) NFL YTD 1-0 (100%) (+$310) PARLAY’S YTD (1*) – 1-3 (25%) (+$20) YEAR-TO-DATE * - 2* 25-21-1 (54.3%) 3* 53-59-1 (47.3%) 4* 39-36-3 (52%) 5* 3-1 (75%) All lines courtesy Pinnacle Sports TOP play in bold Royals ml -125 (4*) - Strict line movement play here Texas ml +151 (3*) -  Home dog with less than 35% betting action and a total of 8.5 or higher theory. Mariners -113 (4*) Arizona/Sf UNDER 7 -113 (4*) - UMP is 3-12 to the UNDER and game as reverse line movement to the UNDER opening at 7.5

By |July 12th, 2014 11:45am|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments

Friday July 11th Betting Action

It was a tough 1-3-1 night last night as my shot with the Padres didn't pay off. It was the losing side, but San Diego did everything they could to lose that game as 4 errors ended up being the difference in a 2-1 game. My play on Texas couldn't have been worse and I missed out on numerous chances to get 1 more run in San Francisco to turn that push into a winner. It's on to tonight's action though and for those that are excited for football, I've got a play in the CFL play on tonight's board. All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts "to win" on favorites and flat on underdogs Play of the Day in Bold MLB YTD: 95-102-13 (+326) MLB Plays Pittsburgh/Cincinnati Over 7.5 (-115) $345 to win $300 I'm going against the majority here as this total has moved up from the key number of 7 despite having 80% or more of the betting action all day on the low side. Everyone is liking the under because the Reds are without some of their big name players, but they've scored 4+ in their last six games and with the Pirates bats coming alive in a 9-1 win last night, this game should sail well over this total. NYY/Baltimore Under 8.5 (-107) $214 to win $200 Siding with the movement here as coming off that key number of 9 is something I can't ignore. Seattle ML (-135) $405 to win $300 It's not often you get King Felix as a home favorite at this short price, but against the best team in the majors (Oakland), that's the situation. Oakland is 1-8 SU the last nine times they've [...]

By |July 11th, 2014 6:25pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments

Friday Bet Card

With back to back winning days you ask why I took off yesterday, well that's because I didn't like the card out last night and didn't want to force a bet.  You should never have to force a bet out there just because there's a game on tv.  As I have progressed as a sports handicapper I have developed my own strategies and theory's I use in my daily cards that have been profitable over my career and now I can show them to you.  I do like tonight's card and have narrowed down my wagers and there are some theory's that apply for tonight. Remember to sign up for our newsletter right on the website here and get our TOP plays right to your inbox.  As always is my updated record by sport, TOP play and star rating. 1* = $100  TOP FREE PLAY – 39-26-2 (60%) (+$4872) MLB YTD 78-78-4 (50%) (+$1262) NFL YTD 1-0 (100%) (+$310) PARLAY’S YTD (1*) – 1-2 (33.3%) (+$120) YEAR-TO-DATE * - 2* 25-21-1 (54.3%) 3* 53-58-1 (47.7%) 4* 38-34-3 (52.7%) 5* 3-1 (75%) All lines courtesy Pinnacle Sports TOP play in bold Rockies run line -1.5 +126 (4*) - First start on the road for a rookie theory.  You don't see me take too many run lines on my cards, but I like this one tonight.  The Twins played in Minnesota last weekend then traveled to Seattle and now to Colorado who could be with Carlos Gonzalez tonight which could spell trouble for the Twins.  The Twins also are starting a rookie on the road in Kris Johnson who is recalled from Triple A to replace Nolasco.  With the total of 10.5 tonight oddsmakers are predicting runs [...]

By |July 11th, 2014 5:32pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments

Thursday July 10th Betting Action

It was a 2-3 day with my picks yesterday, but I only suffered minimal damage thanks to my top play on the over in KC/Tampa being nearly +120. Although that wasn't a side play, in baseball, even the worst teams win 40% of their games so reaching that much maligned 55% mark isn't always a good thing. Taking underdogs or -150 or less favorites is the way to go in my opinion because you can be under 50% like I am and still be up money. That's the power of the + money and no spreads in baseball, so if you are looking to back the heavy -175 and up favorites you won't find any of those selections here at D Rock Sports. Losing those heavy chalk plays can eat at your roll in a hurry and the higher your average odds are the higher your winning percentage has to be just to break even. This is a topic that D Rock can touch on later on this week as we head into a slow time with the All-Star game. For me, it's on to today's short card on getaway day in MLB with teams wrapping up series, and/or getting ready for their final series before the All-Star break. All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts "to win" on favorites and flat on underdogs Play of the Day in Bold MLB YTD: 94-99-12 (+$756) MLB Plays Oakland/San Francisco Over 7 (-101) $303 to win $300 The Giants were glad their was a scenery change in this four-game home-and-home series as they managed to beat the A's 5-2. I'm not looking at the side for the series finale tonight though as we've got another favorable [...]

By |July 10th, 2014 1:43pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments