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Thursday September 11th Betting Action

It was a tough 0-1 day on Wednesday with my free plays as the Cubs got demolished yet again by Toronto and the Twins game was postponed. We've got a lighter MLB card today with some teams resting up on their final day off before the season ends and some football (CFB, NFL) to get down on as well. I've already released a premium play on tonight's NFL game so make sure you sign up here to get on board. I was 3-1-1 last night with my premiums and look to carry that momentum into the weekend. All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts 'to win' on favorites and flat on underdogs Play of the Day in Bold Free Play Records MLB Pre All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691) MLB post All Star Break: 38-37 (+$1883) CFL YTD: 6-8 (-$266) NCAAF YTD: 6-3 ATS (+$656) NFL YTD: 1-3 ATS (-$515) MLB Plays Boston Red Sox ML (+116) $300 to win $348 Buchholz has a 1.90 ERA over his last three starts and the Sox are 3-0 SU in those contests. He's already beaten this Royals team once this year when he outdueled James Shields and tonight he's up against Blue Jays cast off Liam Hendriks. Hendriks only has one start for the Royals (a win), but his last three starts have resulted in a 5.52 ERA (two with Tor) and if he doesn't get absurd run support numbers from his teammates, he usually leaves the game behind. Buchholz is 11-4 SU the last 15 times he's opened up a new series and has a 6-2 SU run going when he's an underdog of +150 or less. I think the pressure of being in the pennant [...]

By |September 11th, 2014 5:36pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks, NCAAF Picks|0 Comments

Wednesday September 10th Betting Action

It was a solid day overall as I was 3-1 with my premium selections yesterday and 1-1 with my free plays, but my top play on Twins at +15- came through. It's all MLB action for me again tonight as we get ready for another weekend of football, so let's get right to tonight's selections. All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with 'bet amounts' to win on favorites and flat on underdogs Play of the Day in Bold MLB Pre All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691) MLB Post All Star Break: 38-36 (+$2183) CFL YTD: 6-8 (-$266) NCAAF YTD: 6-3 ATS (+$656) NFL YTD: 1-3 ATS (-$515) MLB plays Chicago Cubs ML  (+153) $300 to win $459 Here come those Jays again, building up hope for their fan base that this team can actually make a late September push and get into the playoffs. Toronto has won three in a row and eight of their last 10 overall, but they've got the inconsistent Drew Hutchinson on the hill tonight looking for the sweep. Hutchinson had a decent outing against Boston his last time out, but this guy is a ticking time bomb after a few solid starts and I believe the Cubs get to him. The Jays are 1-5 SU in his last six starts against a losing team, 0-8 SU when he goes in Game 3 of a series and 2-6 SU the last eight times he's been a home favorite. He's up against a young guy in Kyle Hendricks who has a 6-1 SU record on the year and Chicago is 9-1 SU in his 10 total starts this year. The Cubs love to give Hendricks plenty of support as they've scored 5.3 runs [...]

By |September 10th, 2014 4:25pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments

Tuesday September 9th Betting Action

I was 2-2 with my four premium plays yesterday (Jays Under 8.5, Pitt Over 8.5, Reds ML, Marlins Under 8) and didn't provide you guys with a great free play slate either (1-2). A few blown coverages and turnovers by the Giants cost me any chance at the 'under' while the Chargers/Cardinals game played out in a similar fashion to their preseason game this year. But it's time to take a break from football and recharge the mind for this weekend's upcoming action. We've got a full baseball board available to us tonight and I've already loaded up four premium MLB plays for subscribers tonight - including two very live underdogs. There are a couple more underdogs I've been eyeing all day for you all so let's get right to the free card. All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts 'to win' on favorites and flat on underdogs Play of the Day in Bold Free Play Records MLB Pre All Star Break: 101-107-13 (+$691) MLB Post All Star Break: 37-35 (+$1945) CFL YTD: 6-8 (-$266) NCAAF YTD: 6-3 ATS (+$656) NFL YTD: 1-3 ATS (-$515) MLB plays Minnesota ML (+146) $300 to win $438 Texas ML (+133) $200 to win $266 I'm grouping these two underdogs together today as both have seen significant reverse line movement with large majorities backing the better teams from Cleveland and L.A. However, L.A is in a tough spot as this is their third city in as many days after playing a make-up game in Cleveland yesterday afternoon and it's only a matter of time before all that travel catches up with them. The Angels also have their worst starter Hector Santiago on the hill and the Rangers [...]

By |September 9th, 2014 5:24pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks|0 Comments

Monday September 8th Betting Action

It was not a good start to the NFL season for me but results like that and my own personal lack of excitement/energy while watching some early games confirmed to me that I much prefer college football (betting, watching, researching) than the pros. Going forward you'll see way more CFB plays from me than NFL and although that may upset some of you, remember, you don't get extra money for having winning bets in the NFL over MLB, or CFB, or Aussie Rules football for that matter. Money plays no favorites, and a winning bet is a winning bet no matter the sport so stick to your strengths and minimize your weaknesses and your bankroll will grow. That being said, I'll still have many NFL plays for you the rest of the season and just like tonight's two free NFL plays, almost all of them will heavily based on fading the majority. In my opinion that's the only way to consistently beat the NFL as odds makers rake in hundreds of millions of dollars from bettors each NFL season from people that 'believe' they know the game, study rosters and handicap based only from what they see on the field. Those are all important factors when breaking down any specific game, but the odds makers know and have seen all that too and have incorporated that into the line. If all that has been accounted for and these sports books are still raking in the dough, what has to change for you to get similar results? Well, simply put, you take the side the sports books are "looking" for after 70$% or higher of the bets have come the other way. It worked yesterday with [...]

By |September 8th, 2014 5:04pm|Free Picks, MLB Picks, NFL Picks|0 Comments

ALL NFL Sunday FREE PLAY Bet Card

Last time out went 0-1-1, pushed on my TOP FREE play, we move on to another FREE play day.  My Premiums are 1-0 in NFL with Seahawks covering -3 first half on Thursday and went 1-0 in CFB with Arkansas St. +16 covering yesterday and have 2 NFL Premiums going today and 1 for tonight's NFL Sunday night Football.  FREE 7 day trial with sign up here.  Let's go out and cash some WINNERS again today.  Here's my one FREE play and survivor pick.  As always my updated FREE play record by sport, TOP FREE play and star rating. 1* = $100  TOP FREE PLAY – 54-45-3 (54.5%) (+$3431) PRE-ALLSTAR BREAK MLB YTD 84-87-4 (49.1%) (+$374) POST-ALLSTAR BREAK MLB YTD 31-34-1  (47.6%) (-$954) NCAAF YTD 2-1 (66.6%) (+$290) NFL YTD 1-0 (100%) (+$310) PARLAY’S YTD (1*) – 2-8 (20%) (-$216) YEAR-TO-DATE * - 2* 36-33-2 (52.1%) 3* 78-87-3 (47.3%) 4* 42-39-3 (51.8%) 5* 3-1 (75%) NFL Survivor Pool Picks: Week 1 - Chicago Bears All lines courtesy Pinnacle Sports All lines are "to risk" TOP FREE play in bold Steelers -6 +100 (3*) - Fade rookie head coach on the road theory.  Browns 0-3 Last 3 ATS vs. the Steelers and 1-3 last 4 away vs. the Steelers.  The Browns faithful with be crying to put in Manziel after they lose this one bad. Survivor Pick - DA BEARS - Bears are 4-0 SU last 4 at home vs. the Bills and 14-6 SU in their first four games of the season since 2009.  

By |September 7th, 2014 11:32am|Free Picks, NFL Picks|0 Comments