Implied Probability Chart
This is an implied odds conversion chart for your reference when needed: […]
The game AFTER a win streak is lost
I put this up as a post of its own, because this profitable betting situation applies to every sport. This is one of my favorite situations to PLAY ON and it continues to cash at a high rate year after year. This situation is pretty simple and works just like this. Teams in all sports go on winning streaks during the seasons and instead of playing against them each time thinking they will lose that game, all you need to do is wait for them to lose and PLAY AGAINST them the very next game. Watch for teams that win six, seven, nine or even ten plus in a row and then finally lose their next game. When those teams lose that game they are in "shock" and disappointment and now they feel that they aren't so unbeatable after all. PLAY AGAINST the team that loses their first game after a winning streak. This play is more amplified if a team goes on a 10+ game winning streak and loses it's first game. This can collect profits year round and is a must play when the right moment comes.
10 Mistakes by Amateur Gamblers
I have complied a list, in no particular order, of 10 common mistakes from most amateur gamblers. 1. Parlays Parlays are "sucker" bets. You want to increase profits, stop playing parlays. They wash your bankroll down the drain. Chances of hitting a parlay decrease every time you add a team to your bet slip. The odds can be up to 10 cent worse on a parlay (depending on the book) which gives every edge to the house. Parlays do not increase bank rolls over the long run. I always see people play two team parlays with both teams being juiced to the nine. Upsets happen every day and if this was a profitable play day in and day out then ask the question, why do sportbooks offer it still? 2. Not doing your homework Can't stress this enough just like your parents tell you when you were a kid. "If you don't do your homework you won't get better grades" Same thing applies to sports if you don't do your homework you won't increase your bankroll. Don't get distracted from guys on twitter, do your own breakdown's of each game. If you don't have time because in today's world time is sometimes hard to come by, simply put, don't bet that day. 3. Handicap twice, bet once You've all heard the saying measure twice, cut once. Same applies to handicapping, make sure you are making the right bet before you hand over the cash or click "place bet" online, simple but a common mistake. 4. Chasing Losing streaks are inevitable in this business and a common mistake from most amateur's is to increase their bet size after each lose. This is a big no-no in [...]
Don’t overreact to the injury report
Everyday you see late scratches from the lineup and the line moves in favor of the team with the player who is not injured. The betting public notices and they hurry to the counter to try to beat the odds-makers before the line changes. This is public overreaction that I don't react to until the time is right. The key to this process is patience, you need to have patience and wait till the time is right to make your move on the line. This works particularly well in the NFL as the injury report comes out an hour and a half before game time. The best thing to do is have a number in your mind on the game that you would like to see and if you see it before game time jump on it. I don't blindly wager every time I see an injury of a player for a team, but if there is a majority of the public overreacting to an injury you have to think twice about leaning with the public. The media also plays a big role in pumping up how significant an injury can be to a team and everyone notices that and bets the other way. Just use contrarian thinking and you will be adding bills to your stack in no time.