NFL YTD 5-3 (62.5%) +$180 Chiefs +4 -110 (Sports Interaction) risking $110 to win $100 Chiefs are losers of four in a row both SU and ATS and now are without their best player, Jamaal Charles, out for the season with an ACL injury is a team that you would not want to bet on.  These are situations I look for when bettors are down on a team, that teams stock is low and this is the case here.   On the other hand, you have a team that's stock is rising in Minnesota, and have looked great prior to their bye week covering three straight ATS.  After coming back as 7 point dogs and nearly upsetting the Broncos, the Vikings beat the Chargers 31-14.  Minnesota is coming off a bye and the market tends to like teams coming off a bye, add in a near upset against a strong Denver team on the road and covering 3 straight you get a sell high opportunity here.  Classic Buy Low sell high Theory.  When bettors write off a team, that is when I jump in and start to invest.   Possible upset here

Free Plays - NFL YTD 4-3 (57.1%) +$80 Washington +7 -110 (sportsbook) risking $110 to win $100 Here we are again with a team, the Falcons, that is blowing out their opposition which in turn causes their stock to soar high right now.  Last week Atlanta opened as a 6.5 pt fav over Houston, but the market wasn’t buying its 3-0 start and Houston was taking money all week, which caused the line to drop to -4 by game time.   Atlanta comes out and blows up Houston by half and was up 42-0 after three quarters. Public perception is a key aspect in sportsbetting and the public see's an undefeated team running up the score that team stock rises and everybody is jumping on the Falcons bandwagon here thinking that this team is easy money.  The best time to jump on a team is when everyone jumps off.  This scenario is the exact same as the Rams/Cardinals last week as the Cards were on fire blowing out teams (95 points in two games) then lost outright to the Rams as 7 point favs.  The market has reacted by overvaluing the Falcons here against Redskins because of how badly they are beating teams and this is a situation I like to attack with this classic case of overreaction. Washington ranks in the top 10 of both offense and defense owning the league’s #1 rated rush offense and the #2 rated rush defense and has been in every game this season.  They have outgained all four opponents in all of their games this season.  Kirk Cousins has been efficient thus far and let’s not forget that the Falcons gave up 37 points to Dallas minus Tony Romo [...]