Everyday you see late scratches from the lineup and the line moves in favor of the team with the player who is not injured. The betting public notices and they hurry to the counter to try to beat the odds-makers before the line changes. This is public overreaction that I don’t react to until the time is right. The key to this process is patience, you need to have patience and wait till the time is right to make your move on the line. This works particularly well in the NFL as the injury report comes out an hour and a half before game time. The best thing to do is have a number in your mind on the game that you would like to see and if you see it before game time jump on it. I don’t blindly wager every time I see an injury of a player for a team, but if there is a majority of the public overreacting to an injury you have to think twice about leaning with the public. The media also plays a big role in pumping up how significant an injury can be to a team and everyone notices that and bets the other way. Just use contrarian thinking and you will be adding bills to your stack in no time.
Don’t overreact to the injury report
By Derek|2014-11-25T17:54:02+00:00May 18th, 2014 2:15pm|Betting Philosophy, Betting Strategy, NFL Strategy|0 Comments
About the Author: Derek
Derek is a professional sports handicapper. He's posted winning seasons every year since 2007 and in 2013 he launched drocksports.com with the goal of teaching others how to make money betting on sports.
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