As the week has been going on I have been tweeting out my thoughts and moves that I have been making for this weekend’s football action.  Below is a list where I have invested my money in.  I do attack aggressively for some, but my attacks are strategic and I don’t put my money in spots where I don’t expect a return on the moneyline.  I had some awful moneyline beats last week in football (Argos on Monday up 27-7 and San Diego on Sunday up 24-3, my only other ml move was with Rice and they got crushed), but I played the spot where I had a chance at a great return on investment according to my situational handicapping.  Today I have moved on one moneyline move correlated with the point spread.  If you don’t like my correlated handicapping system I operate so be it, it’s not for everyone.  It evolves strict money management, as you do have a chance at losing both, but that’s why I am very particular where I use my correlated system and only move on spots where to me I have a greater probability from a situational handicapping prospective to win both.

Friday Update:

Well the losing trend has continued as well as the second half collapses.  I am not upset about all the losses, I know this comes with the territory of this industry and if you are upset about a lose you are wagering too much of your bankroll.  I am not about to change how I attack games, but I am about to change my size of my wagers if things don’t turn around quickly for myself.

2016 Total Overall Units +88.62

2015 Total Overall Units 481-433 (52.6%) +197.09 Units

DBB (Drock Best Bet) in BOLD

2016 – 107-90-3 (54.3%) +49.20 units

September – 5-6 (45.4%) -5.40 units

August – 6-7 (46.1%) -8.80 units

July – 8-4 (66.6%) +15.07 units

June – 8-11 (42.1%) +5.54 units

May – 17-11 (60.7%) +16.58 units

April – 16-11-2 (59.2%) +13.17 units

March – 16-13 (55.1%) +11.51 units

February – 17-11 (60.7%) +10.2 units

January – 14-16-1 (46.8%) -12.16 units

2015 DBB– (138-121-4) overall (53.2%) +71.69 units

2014 DBB– (43-35-4) overall (54.5%) +38.23 units

10* GOY (all time) – 5-0-1 (100%) +50 units

2016 CFL:

14-14 (50%) +15.88 units

2016 CFB:

8-10 (44.4%) -8.34 units

2016 NFL:

5-4 (55.5%) +5.5 units

Previous NFL & CFB seasons:

NFL:

2013: 60-49 (55.04%) +15.78 units

2014: 61-41 (59.8%) +48.59 units

2015: 44-44 (50%) +16.86 units

CFB:

2013: 61-51 (54.4) +13.55 units

2014: 55-55 (50%) +4.24 units

2015: 64-54 (54.2%) +28.18 units

Here is where I have made my moves with this weekend as I have tweeted out during the week.  I have moved early as I feel these numbers will be the best numbers available come Gameday.

CFB: (Thursday)

Kickoff 7:30pm EDT

GM 104 Bearcats +8.5 -110 (SB) risking $440 to win $400 (Best Bet Thursday)

GM 104 Bearcats ml +260 (SB) risking $200 to win $520

(Saturday)

Kickoff 7pm EDT

GM 188 Auburn -3 -110 (SB) risking $220 to win $200

Unranked favorite play

Kickoff 8pm EDT

GM 203 USC +9 -110 (SB) risking $220 to win $200

NFL: (Sunday) Remember Week 2 is Overreaction week.  A personal favorite week for myself.

Final Card

Kickoff 1pm EDT

GM 261 Titans +6 -110 (Sports Interaction) risking $220 to win $200

GM 264 Houston -2.5 -105 (SB) risking $315 to win $300 (Best Bet Sunday)

GM 268 Browns +7 -110 (Sports Interaction) risking $220 to win $200

Kickoff 4:05pm EDT

GM 280 Rams +7 -115 (SB) risking $230 to win $200

Kickoff 4:25pm EDT

GM 283 Falcons +5 -110 (SB) risking $220 to win $200

CFL: (Saturday)

Kickoff 5pm EDT

GM 205 Redblacks +8.5 -106 (pinnacle) risking $424 to win $400 (Best Bet Saturday)

This game has letdown written all over it for Calgary today.  They are coming off back-to-back wins against West rival Edmonton, a game against East powerhouse Hamilton and four weeks ago against BC to exact revenge from their only loss this season.  This Calgary team has been playing at a exceptionally high level against stiff competition and has been winning and covering spreads.    Calgary’s high level of play is set for a regression to the mean.  To maintain their level of play week in and week out is arguably tough to do.  They have developed a big target on their back and last week they had to grind and have things go their way to win and cover that game against the Eskimos in OT.  That was a close call for Calgary and see them not getting up for this non-divisional game against first place Ottawa today with another divisional game against the red hot Blue Bombers next week.  Ottawa is off a bye so they are rested and prepared for the Calgary attack.  Calgary has had four physically hard weeks of football and see this being a spot where Ottawa could catch Calgary sleeping.  With the continuous winning and covering of spreads we get a spot to grab inflated points in a bad situational spot for Calgary where I believe regression to their level of play is upon them.

GM 205 Redblacks ml +325 (pinnacle) risking $200 to win $650

MLB: (Saturday)

First Pitch 4:05pm EDT

GM 953 Brewers ml +245 (pinnacle) risking $200 to win $490

First Pitch 9:10pm EDT

GM 977 Astros ml +111 (pinnacle) risking $200 to win $222

World Cup of Hockey:

The World Cup of Hockey takes center stage up here in Canada beginning September 17th.  What we have here is a great opportunity to watch some world class hockey put on by the NHL.  Team Canada is rightfully favored in this tournament, but there is no value on them whatsoever, however we get a great shot with a team made up of Canadians and Americans at a great price.  Johnny Gaudreau, Connor McDavid, Jack Eichel, Auston Matthews, Nathan McKinnon and so many more. Defensively, the North Americans are as solid with Aaron Ekblad, Seth Jones, Shayne Gostisbehere, Ryan Murray, Morgan Reilly, Colton Parayko and Jacob Trouba.  In net, we have Stanley Cup champion Matt Murray and Anaheim’s John Gibson.  Winning the Stanley Cup with the Pens Murray has proven he can win big games and this tournament is another spot for him to showcase those talents.  This is unbelievable value with the North American team and I am not about to pass up this opportunity with possibly a spot to hedge this down the road in the tournament.

North America U23 to win Outright the World Cup of Hockey +1000 (Bet365) risking $200 to win $2000

Will Canada win the World Cup of Hockey?

No -103 (pinnacle) risking $412 to win $400

Good luck to all tonight and this weekend we got a great bunch of games, enjoy

Derek

@d_rocksports

drocksportsbetting@gmail.com