Took last night off as I didn’t feel the card was all that great back tonight after a 1-2 -$80 Tuesday night with the public fades and if you follow me on twitter I was too late to add the Rays as a public fade as the value of the play got steamed before gametime and was hesitant to fire last night before the steam, but that’s the way it goes some nights, back at it tonight with three free plays, 10-4-2 last 16 plays, ENJOY!!
My FREE play record is below, as always, by sport, TOP FREE play and star rating
1* = $100
TOP FREE PLAY 2015 – 56-51-3 (52.3%) (+$49)
TOP FREE PLAY 2014 – 88-83-3 (51.4%) (+$1782)
MLB YTD 23-29-6 (44.2%) (-$1115)
2015 YEAR-TO-DATE * – ($)
August:
1* 1-2 (33.3%) -$80
July:
1* 7-2-2 (77.7%) +$506
2* 2-1 (66.6%) +$180
3* 0-1 (0%) -$300
June:
1* 1-6 (14.2%) -$515
3* 0-2 (0%) -$699
MAY:
1* 4-11-1 (26.6%) -$742
April:
1* 14-6-3 (70%) +$987
March:
1* 16-20 (44.4%) -$444
February:
1* 10-9 (52.6%) +$34
January:
1* 23-19 (54.7%) +$501
All FREE PLAY results by sport and year can be found here
All lines courtesy Pinnacle Sports
TOP FREE play in BOLD
MLB:
Twins ml +147 (sportsbook) risking $100 to win $147 – Jays are hot and hitting them out of the park with ease of late, but with that comes being overpriced. This applies today as Mark Buehrle takes the hill today in the series finale game between the Twins and Jays. Buehrle’s fastball is only hitting 84mph and is allowing 89.3% contact when a batter swings at all pitches (30.6 % is hard contact). His swing and miss rate in a mere 5.2% and has only struck out 13 in his last 35 innings. No way can Buehrle be favored in this price range, the Twins can put the ball in play in this hitters park and do have speed in the lineup as well. Gibson takes the mound for the Twins and this guy can work deep into games for the Twins and they need it today after extended the bullpen in this series. Gibson has gotten better over the past years his K’s/9 has gotten better (6.32/9 compared to 5.37/9 in 2014) and is walking less batters (2.75/9 compared to 2.86/9 in 2014). Recently he has only given up 3 long balls over his last nine starts and has been forcing a better percentage of ground ball outs 53.3%. Jays got a big 3 game set against the Yankees this weekend and could get caught looking ahead, take the Twins tonight to win.
A’s ml +108 (sportsbook) risking $100 to win $108 – Astro’s have relied on homers to win games and the A’s stadium is a pitchers park, not good for Feldman and the Astros. Astros have lost 6 straight on the road and are now 21-31 on the road this season. They have lost seven straight series on the road averaging only 2.3 runs/game and have batted .194 while losing 11 of 12. In the last 2 games against Texas they could only manage 10 hits in a hitters park. Feldman let’s hitters put the ball in play (85.5% contact when swinging at all pitches) and that’s just what the A’s batters need to get them going. Too small sample size for Brooks, but this is all about the Astros being overpriced on the road, A’s win tonight.
Red Sox ml +128 (sportsbook) risking $100 to win $128 – Sabathia fade here. Old armed pitcher with everything declining. Has pitched horrible at home this season and is carrying a 6.80 ERA at home. He will give up runs and at this price it is worth the risk to back the Red Sox here as I don’t know what Yankees offense will show up tonight. Once again, big series on deck against the Jays this weekend and could get caught looking ahead.
Good luck to all tonight and enjoy the games!!
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