I was able to get back on track with my free plays last night as my two selections were a “sweat-free” 2-0. The Bulls stepped up like I thought they would after Derrick Rose called them out and dominated both ends of the floor against the defending champs. Utah and Milwaukee really opened things up after a slow 1st quarter and were easily able to go over the 184 number.

I’m looking for a couple more “easy” winners like that tonight with these two selections.

Play of the Day in Bold

Free Play Records

NCAAF YTD: 24-24 ATS (-$393)

NFL YTD: 11-17 ATS (-$1926)

NHL YTD: 15-19 (-$426)

NBA YTD: 11-17 (-$1048)

NCAAB: 2-1-1 (+$83)

NBA Free Plays

Houston/Phoenix Over 220.5 (-105) $315 to win $300

The Rockets have scored 110 or more in five of their last six games as they appear to be going back to their roots by playing zero defense and trying to knock down every shot in seven seconds or less. The Suns allow over 104/game this year so Houston shouldn’t have any problem getting to 110+ again tonight, especially with a 20-7 O/U run going when off a loss. The Rockets are also 11-4 O/U when that loss was by double digits and have gone ‘over’ the total in six straight.

Phoenix is a team that loves to play fast too because their leaky defense can’t seemingly hold anyone down. The Suns are 7-3-1 O/U after a win of late and on a 7-1 O/U run at home against an opponent that’s won 60%+ on the road. They’ve got great scoring talent in their three guard system (Bledsoe, Dragic, Thomas) and love to push the pace any chance they get.

This total may seem quite high as the majority right now believes (65% on under), but this game will be a race to 120 points and I wouldn’t be surprised to see both sides reach that number.

Sacramento/Golden State Under 219 (-105) $210 to win $200

Everyone knows about Golden State’s prolific offense, but did you know they are #1 in the league in FG% allowed at 42.1? Their huge improvement on defense is the main reason why the Warriors have the best record in the league right now and they tend to show that side when they are up against poor competition.

The Warriors are 2-5 O/U in their last seven against a losing team and have already held the Kings to just 77 points in one of the two meetings this year. Golden State is also on a 14-40 O/U run after allowing 100+ in their last game and six of the last eight meetings between these two franchises have stayed below the respective total (1-4 O/U in Golden State). The Kings are 7-17-1 O/U in their last 25 on the road against a team with a winning home record and 0-4 O/U after scoring 100+.

It’s no surprise that a game like this gets a high total of 219 as there is no denying how great the Warriors are at scoring the ball, but this number is a few points too high in my opinion with the Warriors likely to be a bit less energized tonight after their game with Houston. Golden State will win this one but I would not be surprised to see the Warriors be the only team to reach 100 points tonight.