I’d like to start off by apologizing for not posting my free plays more regularly here at D Rock Sports as with site maintenance in mid-December, the holidays, and the busy Bowl season I had a hard time finding time to post write ups here and rank plays that were still good but not good enough to make my premium card.

But now that the hectic period is over with and we are only two months away from March Madness, you’ll be seeing a lot more of my posts here at D Rock. I’m back with a free NHL pick tonight:

All lines taken from Pinnacle Sports with bet amounts ‘to win’ on favorites and flat on underdogs

Play of the Day in Bold

Free Play Records

NCAAF YTD: 24-24 ATS (-$393)

NFL YTD: 11-17 ATS (-$1926)

NHL YTD: 14-15 (+$274)

NBA YTD: 9-13 (-$998)

NCAAB: 2-1-1 (+$83)

NHL Free Play

Anaheim/L.A Over 5.5 +118 ($300 to win $354)

The Ducks and Kings have met twice already this year with each team winning once at home in OT or the shootout. We finished with scores of 6-5 and 3-2 in those respective contests, but I believe tonight’s game resembles that 6-5 meeting rather than the latter.

For one, L.A has been struggling to keep the puck out of their net these days as they’ve allowed 5, 0, 5, 4, and 7 goals in their past five games. That shutout came against a hapless Leafs team that can’t seemingly score on anyone at the moment, so I don’t put much weight into that result.

Secondly, the Ducks have won five of their last six games overall by scoring 4+ goals in each of those five wins and have a 4-0-2 O/U run going after scoring 5 or more goals. Anaheim has the size and scoring talent that matches up well with this Kings team and the Ducks would like noting more than to kick this struggling L.A team while they are down. Anaheim is also 8-3-1 O/U in their last 12 on the road, so look for them to press and force the issue early on.

L.A has a 4-1 O/U run going at home right now and are 4-0 O/U after allowing 5 or more goals last time out. For whatever reason this Kings team just can’t seem to get it right in their own zone these days as they are relying heavily on their offense to get the job done. L.A is 13-4-4 O/U in their last 21 against a team that’s got a winning percentage of at least .600 and know that with the way they are playing right now, they aren’t going to win this game with a 3-1 type score.

Like all Ducks/Kings games, this game will likely be decided by a single goal, but I’ve got it finishing 4-3 (for either team) meaning that the +118 on this ‘over’ presents plenty of value.