Derek - 29/100 - D Rock Sports

Saturday CFB Free Pick

CFB Free Plays YTD 4-5 (44.4%) -$119 GM #146 Michigan +1 -104 (pinnacle) risking $104 to win $100 Like how Ohio st is coming off their first loss in over a year (Week 2 2014 vs. VTech) and have to go on the road and play in the "BIG HOUSE" one of the most hostile college football home field environments to play in. Ohio st's playoff hopes were pretty much faded last week in their loss and will be hard to overcome that mentally for the players. I see Ohio st. having trouble running the ball against this stout Michigan front 7 (has given up just 71 ypg rushing at home this season). Even the pass D for Michigan has been solid with only allowing 2.3 ypc at home this season. Ohio st. RB Elliot criticized the playcalling after getting only 12 carries (33 YR) in the 17-14 loss last week. This is not going to get any easier this week and could lead to a frustrated Ohio st offense again. Michigan has not only been doing it on defense, but their offense has seen some spark over a 3 game winning streak recently. QB Jake Rudock 70% completions, 344 ypg passing with 10 TD passes his last 3 during Michigan's win streak. The public will be quick to back the defending champs at this low number, but don't be mistaken for this line. The oddsmakers don't make errors with their numbers and I won't be taking the bait. Michigan wins this SU 27-24

By Derek|November 27th, 2015 10:12pm|Free Picks, NCAAF Picks|0 Comments

NFL Thanksgiving Thursday FREE Pick

NFL YTD 5-8 (38.4%) -$385 GM #106 Lions -2 -108 (pinnacle) risking $108 to win $100 Lions defense has come together with wins over the Packers and Raiders averaging only 14.5ppg against in those wins. Simply do not trust Eagles QB Sanchez tossing another 3 picks on Sunday against the Bucs to make it 15 INT in 11 games with the Eagles. After getting a beat-down on Sunday by the hands of the Bucs it's tough to make the necessary adjustments to fix the problems for the Eagles on a short week. With all the rumors of the Chip Kelly era coming to an end ringing in the Eagles ears, this can cause for a distraction for a short week road tilt. Detroit statistically doesn't match well with the Eagles, but the Eagles are a hot mess right now and Detroit has a couple nice wins in a row after their bye week, Detroit wins by 4 24-20. Good Luck to all and Happy Thanksgiving to all my friends south of the boarder!! Derek

By Derek|November 25th, 2015 8:50pm|Free Picks, NFL Picks|0 Comments

NFL Sunday Week 11 Free Pick

NFL YTD 5-7 (41.6%) -$270 GM #451 Redskins +7.5 -115 (SB) risking $115 to win $100 The Panthers are the definition of a team winning ugly. I have lost a few times trying to fade this team this season so far, but now we have Carolina spotting over a TD to cover to win and in this spot I believe we are getting an inflated number. Looking back at their games the Panthers have been involved in 5 one score games this season and now they have to win by more than a TD, no way!! Only once have the Panthers out gained an opponent by 51 yards this season. The Panthers have been a solid 7-2 against the spread this year, but covering a big number is foreign to them, having spotted more than five points just twice this season and failing to cover both times in a pair of close wins. This is a tough spot for the Panthers as next Thursday they head to Dallas for a huge nationally televised game on Thanksgiving Day. It’s easy to overlook the Redskins here and focus more on the Cowboys on Thanksgiving as the Panthers have been receiving a lot of attention this week as one of the last two remaining undefeated teams. If you have been a backer of the Panthers they have been good to you, but now you get an inflated number and you will have to pay for it. This is the spots I look for and I want to attack, Redskins plus the points. Good luck to all today and enjoy the games!! Derek

By Derek|November 22nd, 2015 9:55am|Free Picks, NFL Picks|0 Comments

FREE 2* NHL Saturday Free Pick

Puck Drop 7:05pm EDT GM #60 Panthers ml +125 (Bovada) risking $200 to win $250 Game after a win streak is lost theory right here from drocksports.com. Rangers won 9 straight before losing to the Lightning in an Eastern Conference final rematch from last season's playoffs two nights ago. After long win streaks and the first lost a team occurs this is a "Play Against" spot that I love to attack.

By Derek|November 21st, 2015 5:20pm|Free Picks, NHL Picks|0 Comments

Saturday CFB Free Pick

CFB Free Plays YTD 4-4 (50%) -$9 GM #400 Vandy +4 -110 (Bovada) risking $110 to win $100 Vandy still a shot at a bowl bid needing 2 more wins. Aggies love the passing attack, but Vandy tough on D only allowing 7 touchdown passes this season. Playing press coverage will challenge these speedy wide outs on A&M. Vandy D has been tough to score on in the red zone ranking fourth in the nation in red zone defense nicknamed "Black Death". Aggies D allowing 210.2 yards rushing per game the highest average in the SEC. Vandy should be able to exploit this weakness with RB Ralph Webb who has averaged 107.3 yards rushing over his last four games. QB issues for Texas A&M and a tough place to play where weather is going to be bit colder than this Aggies team is use to. Vandy is a very live dog today and a possible upset here, but gladly will take the points. Good luck to all tonight, Derek

By Derek|November 21st, 2015 4:56pm|Free Picks, NCAAF Picks|0 Comments

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